Weekend Reading: Time to Nibble on Stocks?

02/17/08 - 04:47 PM EST

Paul Kedrosky

Welcome to another edition of Weekend Reading. First, a look back at the week that just finished, then a look forward to the week ahead, and, finally, some articles and papers worth reading.

It was a typically wacky week on the markets, with stocks alternately soaring and tumbling as investors flipped between worrying about a recession and worrying they were missing the market's bottom. When it was all over, the major markets ended the week higher, with the S&P 500 and the Dow gaining 1.4% and the Nasdaq Composite climbing 0.7%.

Looking ahead to next week, it feels as if we could see higher levels. Although the worst is far from over for mortgage markets and financial stocks, and there seems to be little doubt that the economy slid into recession in the latter part of December, investors are busily looking past most of this (so long as there's no more calamitous news). There are still many risks, including the continued unwinding of bond insurers, but even so, investors -- expecting the parts of the economy that are doing well to continue to do so -- seem set to pick up food and agriculture stocks, some broken financials and even some select technology companies.

Turning to economic indicators, on Tuesday we will see the National Association of Home Builders' builder sentiment index, which is expected to be flat. On Wednesday we will see the consumer price index for January, which is expected to rise 0.3%. Also Wednesday, we will see the minutes from Jan. 29-30 Federal Reserve meeting, which could move the market. Finally, on Thursday the Philadelphia Fed will release its February business activity index.

As for earnings, things are settling down a little, but even so, earnings reports from Hewlett-Packard(HPQ Quote - Cramer on HPQ - Stock Picks) and Wal-Mart(WMT Quote - Cramer on WMT - Stock Picks) on Tuesday could be market-moving.

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RealMoney Barometer Poll
1 What would best describe your stance heading into the coming week of trading?
Bullish
Bearish
Neutral
2 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move up in the coming week?
3 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move down in the coming week?


View the results without voting
At time of publication, Kedrosky had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Dr. Paul Kedrosky is a former highly ranked sell-side technology equity analyst, and he currently runs a technology finance institute at the University of California, San Diego. He is also a venture partner with Ventures West, an institutional venture capital firm with more than $400 million under management. He maintains a widely read blog called Infectious Greed.

Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Kedrosky cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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