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Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Navigating a Brutal Market

02/05/08 - 07:45 PM EST

TheStreet.com Staff

Click here for an archive of Cramer's "Mad Money" recaps.


"Don't ask why the markets collapsed today," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Tuesday.

"The 'why' doesn't matter," he explained. The market's current pattern -- its rhythm -- has been short, sharp rallies followed by lots of selling by those who think we're headed toward a recession. Cramer said this is the pattern the market is in, and it will most likely continue.

"Trying to figure out why the markets fall is kind of like 'Pin The Tail On The Donkey,' " Cramer said. But ultimately, it just doesn't matter. "You can't go up 1,000 points in two or three weeks and expect to hold those gains," Cramer explained. "The markets just can't go up that much without big pullbacks. "

Cramer recommended sticking to his playbook and taking profits on any stock that is up. He also suggested picking entry points for some new stocks that pay good dividends and offer protection while waiting for the next upward turn.

Cramer said the new leadership stocks will be the banks, retailers and brokers. "These stocks will stop falling eventually."

They include such stocks as Bank of America (BAC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Washington Mutual (WM - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), VF Corp. (VFC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Nordstrom (JWN - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr).

Cramer was not surprised these stocks were hit hard Tuesday because all of them recently experienced big moves.

When will the bottom finally come? Cramer says that will happen only when there is finally some price appreciation in the residential real estate market and the bottom of the subprime mess is reached. Until then, he said, be prepared for more days like Tuesday.

A Breath of Fresh Air

Cramer said investors who are tired of U.S. recession fears should look no further than Brazil for a breath of fresh air. Cramer has liked Brazil for some time and says it's one of the best places to invest in the world. Brazil, he said, is flush with growth and natural resources.

According to Cramer, one Brazilian stock that investors should consider is Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), the world's No. 1 producer of iron ore and the second largest producer of nickel.

CVRD is up 10% since Cramer's last recommendation in January. Cramer said he would buy CVRD after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock, and especially after the stock shed $1.62 a share in Tuesday's selloff.

Global demand for iron and nickel is on the rise, Cramer explained, and CVRD expects iron prices to increase 62% in the coming year. Cramer said investors should ignore fears of a global recession because these fears have already been baked into the stock price.

A Lot More to Do

Cramer sat down with Duncan Niederauer, Chairman and CEO of NYSE Euronext , (NYX - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), a stock that he also owns for his Action Alerts PLUS portfolio, to discuss the company's disappointing quarterly earnings.

Cramer's been a long-time fan of NYX, but admitted that he "let viewers down" with this recommendation.

Niederauer was only CEO for one third of the current quarter, but he took responsibility for the company's disappointing results. Asked why expenses haven't fallen faster, Niederauer said for 2007, expenses were down 7% while revenue were up 21% and earnings were up 41%. But he stated that 7% is not enough when it comes to cutting expenses.

Looking into the future, Niederauer said its merger with the American Stock Exchange will be good for the markets and cannot be blocked, despite recent reports to the contrary. He said he would not rule out additional acquisitions if they make sense for the company.

Cramer asked Niederauer why his stock doesn't trade better and asked if a buyback or dividend boost would help the shares. Niederauer said he is not happy where the stock is and is looking into options, including possibility splitting the stock to increase liquidity. "I'm prepared to make the tough decisions," he said.

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At the time of publication, Cramer was long NYSE Euronext.

Jim Cramer, host of the CNBC television program "Mad Money," is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com, Inc., and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. All opinions expressed by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are his own and do not reflect the opinions of TheStreet.com or its affiliates, or CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL or their parent company or affiliates. Mr. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers to be reliable, but neither TheStreet.com, nor CNBC, nor either of their affiliates and/or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Mr. Cramer's statements are based on his opinions at the time statements are made, and are subject to change without notice. No part of Mr. Cramer's compensation from CNBC or TheStreet.com is related to the specific opinions expressed by him on "Mad Money."

None of the information contained in "Mad Money" constitutes a recommendation by Mr. Cramer, TheStreet.com or CNBC that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy mentioned on the program. Mr. Cramer's past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Neither Mr. Cramer, nor TheStreet.com, nor CNBC guarantees any specific outcome or profit, and you should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investments discussed on the program. The strategy or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value and you may get back less than you invested. Before acting on any information contained in the program, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

Some of the stocks mentioned by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are held in Mr. Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio. When that is the case, appropriate disclosure is made on the program and in the "Mad Money" recap available on TheStreet.com. The Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio contains all of Mr. Cramer's personal investments in publicly-traded equity securities only, and does not include any mutual fund holdings or other institutionally managed assets, private equity investments, or his holdings in TheStreet.com, Inc. Since March 2005, the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio has been held by a Trust, the realized profits from which have been pledged to charity. Mr. Cramer retains full investment discretion with respect to all securities contained in the Trust. Mr. Cramer is subject to certain trading restrictions, and must hold all securities in the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio for at least one month, and is not permitted to buy or sell any security he has spoken about on television or on his radio program for five days following the broadcast.


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