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Jitters Spread Through Asia

Jitters over renewed weakness in key benchmark levels in Hong Kong led a region-wide selloff Monday, as investors pummeled the Hang Seng down 1068 points, to 24,053 and Shanghai's exchange plunged 342 points, to 4419. The Nikkei also fared badly, losing 541 points, or 4%, to 13,087.

"On Friday punters took the market way up, but there was light institutional buying," says Bryan Watkins, a trader at Daiwa Securities in Hong Kong. "It was quiet on the trading floor. As those spreads got thinner people started to take the offers. Now the spreads are widening."

Other Asian market participants say the repeat selloff, which follows a steep decline in the Asian markets early last week, is a trend that is fast following the 1997 "Asian contagion," where the region suddenly went into a deep decline.

China Watch:

"It probably won't be as dramatic, but it's possible," says Andrew Clarke, a trader at SG Securities in Hong Kong. "Asia is better equipped to deal with it, but that doesn't mean it won't happen."

Market participants are divided on the direction of the Hang Seng now, which is considered a proxy for regional markets. The most bearish say the bottom may be 18,500 points, which they point out is consistent with the trend that seems to be mirroring the scenario 10 years ago.

Snowstorms in China grounded airline and oil stocks. China Eastern Airlines (CEA) plummeted 10%, to 15.62 yuan, while Air China (AIRYY) lost by the same percentage, to 21.73 yuan. PetroChina (PTR - Get Report) dived 8.1%, to 24.02 yuan.

Other losers included Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (SHL), down 5%, at 13.22 yuan, and Aluminum Corp of China (ACH), off 10%, at 30.10 yuan.

In Hong Kong, financials were hit the hardest, and some dealers now say that Hang Seng Bank (HSNGY) is a favorite to short, since it still trades at 6.13 times book price vs. 1.6 times book price for parent HSBC Holdings (HBC). Hang Seng bank lost 2.2%, to HK$150.70, while HSBC Holdings fell 3.3%, to HK$116.50.

Insurer Ping An (PIAIF) slipped 6.9%, to HK$63.50, while market leader China Life Insurance (LFC) dropped 6.3%, to HK$31.40.

In Frankfurt, ADRs of technology stocks were tracking a decline in shares of (ALBCF), which finished 5.6% lower, at HK$20.20. (BIDU - Get Report) was down 4.3%, while Sina (SINA - Get Report) was shedding 7.7%, by midday.

"I wouldn't touch those tech shares with a bargepole -- I think you're insane if you do," says SocGen's Clarke. He says that if investors want to play anything tech-related, China Mobile is the best bet, although he cautions that the stock may fall further.

China Mobile (CHL) dived 4.8%, to 117.10, while the smaller telco China Telecom (CHA) lost 4.9%, to HK$5.62. China Unicom (CHU) slipped 4.8%, to HK$17.20, but China Netcom (CN) held up better, off 1.7%, at HK$23.90.

The declines in equity prices, prompted by fears over a U.S. slowdown, led the price of gold 0.6% higher, to $916 an ounce by the end of Asian trading.

In Japan, the yen surged vs. the dollar, to 106.44 vs. 107.61 on Friday. The currency sent exporters spiraling down, with Nintendo (NTDOY) the biggest loser, down 9.6%, to 47,000 yen. Kobe Steel (KBSTY) lost 5.7%, to 348 yen, and Canon (CAJ) was off 4.9%, at 4620 yen.
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