How to Outperform the Market and Manage Risk With ETFs

01/11/08 - 04:42 PM EST

Scott Rothbort

So if you want downside ("synthetic" short) exposure to the S&P, you can buy the Short S&P 500 ETF. How does the short ETF work? Simply put, as the S&P index declines, the Short S&P 500 ETF rises. As the S&P rises, the Short S&P ETF declines.

What is so powerful about these inverse ETFs is that they do not require a margin account. But the ETF world did not stop there. ETF companies have also created leveraged ETFs to get you double exposure to an index, such as the S&P. The leveraged ETFs are available in both the long long-position variety, such as the ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO Quote - Cramer on SSO - Stock Picks) and the short short-position variety, such as the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (SDS Quote - Cramer on SDS - Stock Picks). These leveraged ETFs can only be traded in cash accounts and eliminate the need to trade on margin. However, be forewarned, with these leveraged ETFs, you can lose money twice as fast.

How I Manage Risk With ETFs

Here is one risk management method which I have employed in the past and plan to use again. Say you are 100% long in your account. You want to move to a more neutral position. Take the following actions:

1. Sell 30% of your portfolio. When I say 30% I do not mean 30% of the market value market-value. I mean 30% of the beta beta value of the portfolio (see "The Finance Professor: Manage Risk Like a Pro"). You can achieve this by selling 30% of each position or carefully vetting out individual positions to arrive at this goal.

You should now have a portfolio that is 70% invested and 30% in cash. 2. With the sale proceeds, buy the UltraShort S&P500 ETF. By using 30% of your risk capital capital to buy the "ultra-short" ETF, you have now created twice that amount (60%) in downside exposure.

You should now have a portfolio that is only 10% exposed to the market. Please note: the exposure may vary by portfolio due to individual beta calculations and tracking errors. A tracking error is the difference between the actual performance of a portfolio and the benchmark index which it is designed to imitate.

3. Monitor the market. Once the market has corrected, you can sell your ultrashort hedge and redeploy your capital back into the market.

For quick reference, below is a table which lays out the ETFs in various forms for the major U.S. indices:


                                                                                                                                                                                         
Index
Corresponding ETF
LongLong LeveredShortShort Levered
S&P 500 (SPX)SPDR Trust (SPY)Ultra S&P 500 (SSO)Short S&P500 (SH)UltraShort S&P500 (SDS)
Russell 2000 (RUT)iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)Ultra Russell 2000 (UWM)Short Russell2000 (RWM)UltraShort Russell2000 (TWM)
S&P 400 MidCap (MID)MidCap SPDRs (MDY)Ultra MidCap 400 (MVV)Short MidCap400 (MYY)UltraShort MidCap400 (MZZ)
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)PowerShares QQQ (QQQQ)Ultra QQQ (QLD)Short QQQ (PSQ)UltraShort QQQ (QID)
Dow Jones Industrial (DJI)?DIAMONDS? Trust (DIA)Ultra Dow30 (DDM)Short Dow30 (DOG)UltraShort Dow30 (DXD)
S&P 600 SmallCap (SML)iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index (IJR)Ultra S&P SmallCap600 (SAA)Short S&P SmallCap600 (SBB)UltraShort S&P SmallCap600 (SDD)

ETFs have a variety of uses and come in many different forms. This lesson outlined two interesting ways you can use ETFs as part of your risk management and overall investment process. In the future, I will present other techniques for managing your portfolio with ETFs. In the meantime, if you are looking to reallocate a portion of your assets or go to a more neutral market stance, consider using the strategies I outlined above.

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At the time of publication, Rothbort was long MON, although positions can change at any time.

Scott Rothbort has over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. In 2002, Rothbort founded LakeView Asset Management, LLC, a registered investment advisor based in Millburn, N.J., which offers customized individually managed separate accounts, including proprietary long/short strategies to its high net worth clientele.

Immediately prior to that, Rothbort worked at Merrill Lynch for 10 years, where he was instrumental in building the global equity derivative business and managed the global equity swap business from its inception. Rothbort previously held international assignments in Tokyo, Hong Kong and London while working for Morgan Stanley and County NatWest Securities.

Rothbort holds an MBA in finance and international business from the Stern School of Business of New York University and a BS in economics and accounting from the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania. He is a Professor of Finance and the Chief Market Strategist for the Stillman School of Business of Seton Hall University.

For more information about Scott Rothbort and LakeView Asset Management, LLC, visit the company's Web site at www.lakeviewasset.com. Scott appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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