Lazard's Ridiculous Target Call Gets a Pass

Stock quotes in this article: TGT  

MarketWatch managed to mention it in this quick summary, even if it did not take the time to really point up its ridiculousness.

And what would we learn from really delving into the silliness of all this? Well, for one: The two buck quasi-trim in price target on Target puts to rest any of the more incendiary language used by both the analysts and their appendages, the journalists.

Moreover, the business media lost a perfect opportunity to instruct the savvy investor on how the Wall Street ratings game can work. In many cases -- like this -- it's perfectly calibrated.

See how the analyst cut numbers so slightly that you hardly notice? The price target trim was truly a joke and even the fourth quarter was just cut back by 5 cents, to $1.25. If Target recovers quickly, and the Lazard alarmist, err analyst, says it seems to have had a better recent few days -- he can claim to be right. "I only cut my price target on Target to $65. That's almost like keeping it the same. I knew."

And if Target reels? If the "too little too late" turns into a false start of a recovery?

Well, that's where the incendiary language that ran completely counter to the minuscule numbers tweak comes in. Then he can say "I told you it would be the first casualty! I knew."

That the business media plays along without fighting back makes it worse and confuses a lot of investors. Now you know why I look so battered and sad. Beware and be aware.

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At the time of publication, Fuchs had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this column.

Marek Fuchs was a stockbroker for Shearson Lehman Brothers and a money manager before becoming a journalist who wrote The New York Times' "County Lines" column for six years. He also did back-up beat coverage of The New York Knicks for the paper's Sports section for two seasons and covered other professional and collegiate sports. He has contributed frequently to many of the Times' other sections, including National, Metro, Escapes, Style, Real Estate, Arts & Leisure, Travel, Money & Business, Circuits and the Op-Ed Page. For his "Business Press Maven? column on how business and finance are covered by the media, Fuchs was named best business journalist critic in the nation by the Talking Biz website at The University of North Carolina School of Journalism and Mass Communication. Fuchs is a frequent speaker on the business media, in venues ranging from National Public Radio to the annual conference of the Society of American Business Editors and Writers. Fuchs appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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