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10 Ways to Improve Your Market-Timing

12/21/07 - 01:34 PM EST

Alan Farley

This column was originally published on RealMoney on Dec. 6, 2007 at 1 p.m. EDT. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers. For more information about subscribing to RealMoney, please click here.

It's December and getting close to the time when traders need to wrap things up and evaluate their profit profit-and-loss capital-loss performance for the year. Unfortunately, most folks speculating speculator on the financial markets in 2007 face major disappointment when they look at their results and realize how tough it's been to make money.

Sadly, most traders follow the same worn-out strategy over and over again, regardless of market conditions. They just buy upside momentum momentum-investing and hang on, hoping the bottom doesn't drop out of their positions. But as we know in this volatile volatile trading year, almost every sharp move higher or lower has been followed by a vicious counterswing.

It's easy to dismiss this ragged price market-price action, believing it's just an aberration in an otherwise perfect bull market, but nothing could be further from the truth. In reality, a choppy and dangerous tape is the most common environment in which traders need to risk risk their capital capital and book results.

That's why the concept of market-timing market-timing is so important. Regardless of short-term conditions, every position is forced to negotiate a minefield of conflicting time elements in order to book profits. Simply stated, it's the gateway through which you take on monetary and emotional risk.

So what's the best timing strategy for your next trade? Unfortunately, the correct answer changes over time. As a result, market players must plan each trade within the context of the current environment, reward-to-risk profile and pre-chosen holding period holding-period. The good news: This extra effort pays off handsomely on their bottom lines.

Had a tough year picking your fights and choosing your exits in 2007? Well, it's time to shake it off and get ready for the new year. To help you get things started on the right foot, here are 10 things you can do to improve your market-timing.

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At the time of publication, Farley had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Alan Farley is a professional trader and author of The Master Swing Trader. Farley also runs a Web site called HardRightEdge.com, an online resource for trading education, technical analysis and short-term investment strategies. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Farley appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email. Also, click here to sign up for Farley's premium subscription product The Daily Swing Trade brought to you exclusively by TheStreet.com.

TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Trader's Library under which it receives a portion of the revenue from purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com.


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