Funds Aim for Miller's Record
With scads of retirement money currently flooding into mutual funds, tens of thousands of confident MBAs ready and willing to call the shots, plus a perpetual flow of sophisticated portfolio management software tools, you would think there would be a fund that could consistently outperform the S&P 500 index.
Wrong! It is close to a year since the most remarkable winning streak in fund history ended. At the close of 2005, the (LMVTX Quote) Legg Mason Value Trust (LMVTX), under the stewardship of the legendary Bill Miller, had rung up a streak of 15 years of annually outperforming the S&P 500 total-return index. Miller's record included negative years where his fund's loss was of lower magnitude than the S&P's. As motivation to contenders for his title, Miller's unprecedented streak is presented in an adjoining table. The Legg Mason Value Trust's current largest holdings are Amazon(AMZN Quote) and AES(AES Quote). TheStreet.com Ratings queried its database of open-end mutual funds to see if any were poised to replicate at least a decade of annual returns surpassing the S&P. Thirty stock and hybrid funds in the accompanying table have outpaced the benchmark S&P in each of the past eight years, plus this year through Nov. 19. But, with one debatable exception that we will get to later, none currently has a longer winning streak. So no fund will be able to claim an uncontested 10-year winning streak vs. the S&P until the close of trading on Dec. 31, 2008. Of course, the funds will have to outpace the S&P for another 13 months before they can claim membership in the 10-year club. Given the market's erratic gyrations in recent months, it's a safe bet that far fewer than 30 will make the cut. As befits the current investment fashion, 21 of the 30 potential 10-year streaks have, in whole or in part, international investment focuses. With a total of three global and an equal number of non-U.S. funds, the Franklin Templeton (BEN Quote) group leads the management companies in number of prospects on the list. Also reflecting the times, three funds with investment objectives in energy and natural resources reside in the group. Because mutual funds' total returns are computed by assuming that dividends
as well as capital gains distributions are reinvested in the funds, for purposes of accurate comparisons the performance data on the S&P 500 gauge also assumes reinvested dividends.
What about the aforementioned "debatable exception" to no fund having a winning streak of more than eight years plus 2007 to date vs. the S&P?
The (RNPFX Quote) American Funds New Perspective R2 (RNPFX) has outperformed the S&P 500 total-return index annually for the past nine calendar years and holds a comfortable lead over the market gauge for 2007 to date -- at least its R2 class, which charges a lower expense rate than other share classes does.
There's one problem: RNPFX only came into existence on May 15, 2002, barely five and a half years ago.
In recent years, many newer, specialized "classes" of an existing fund were created, with the newer entries sharing identical portfolios with the corresponding original share classes. The Securities and Exchange Commission allows the newer classes to calculate what their performances would have been prior to their initial offerings.
They must base it on the performance of an older class of the same fund, but with the newer fund's performance calculated using its unique stated expense schedule and not the older fund's historic expenses.
| Eight Years And Counting These funds have outperformed the S&P 500 for the past eight calendar years and so far this year |
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| NAME | TICKER | TheStreet.com RATINGS GRADE | OBJECTIVE | 1999-2006 ANN'L RET'N (%) | 2007 RET'N THRU 11/19 (%) | |
| AIM Capital Development A | ACDAX | C | Mid Cap | 9.02 | 7.60 | |
| American Funds Cap Wld Gr&Inc A | CWGIX | A+ | Global Equity | 12.98 | 14.53 | |
| American Funds Fundamentl Invs A | ANCFX | B+ | Growth & Income | 8.66 | 9.28 | |
| American Funds New Perspective A | ANWPX | A | Global Equity | 9.62 | 13.89 | |
| BlackRock Glb Allocation Inv A | MDLOX | B | Asset Allocation - Global | 12.56 | 15.25 | |
| BlackRock Global Small Cap Inv A | MDGCX | C+ | Global Equity | 18.42 | 12.54 | |
| DFA International Small Company | DFISX | A- | Non-US Equity | 16.22 | 10.05 | |
| Fidelity Adv Energy A | FANAX | C | Energy/Natural Res | 17.59 | 29.02 | |
| Fidelity Worldwide Fund | FWWFX | B+ | Non-US Equity | 8.34 | 14.27 | |
| First Eagle Overseas Fund A | SGOVX | C+ | Non-US Equity | 19.33 | 8.41 | |
| GMO Foreign Fund II | GMFRX | A | Non-US Equity | 12.25 | 7.92 | |
| GMO Foreign Small Companies III | GMFSX | B+ | Non-US Equity | 20.28 | 6.73 | |
| GMO International Eq Alloc III | GIEAX | B+ | Asset Allocation - Global | 15.04 | 14.40 | |
| JennDry Jennison Nat Resources A | PGNAX | B- | Energy/Natural Res | 26.53 | 35.42 | |
| JPMorgan Small Cap Growth A | PGSGX | D+ | Small Cap | 9.12 | 9.53 | |
| Manning & Napier Pro-Blend Max Term | EXHAX | C+ | Asset Allocation - Domestic | 12.02 | 5.03 | |
| Manning & Napier World Opprty Fd A | EXWAX | B+ | Non-US Equity | 16.39 | 12.69 | |
| Matthews Asian Growth & Income Fd | MACSX | A+ | Non-US Equity | 21.09 | 17.06 | |
| Mutual Discovery A | TEDIX | A- | Global Equity | 14.08 | 7.62 | |
| Mutual European A | TEMIX | A+ | Non-US Equity | 16.88 | 12.68 | |
| Oppenheimer Developing Mkts A | ODMAX | B- | Emerging Market Equity | 25.68 | 29.90 | |
| Royce Capital Micro-Cap Port | RCMCX | C+ | Small Cap | 18.69 | 3.06 | |
| T. Rowe Price New Era | PRNEX | A- | Energy/Natural Res | 16.71 | 28.67 | |
| T. Rowe Price Spectrum Growth | PRSGX | B- | Growth & Income | 7.35 | 6.03 | |
| Templeton Foreign A | TEMFX | B- | Non-US Equity | 11.02 | 12.58 | |
| Templeton Foreign Smaller Co A | FINEX | C+ | Non-US Equity | 12.89 | 7.76 | |
| Templeton Global Opportunities A | TEGOX | A+ | Global Equity | 9.14 | 15.58 | |
| Templeton World A | TEMWX | C+ | Global Equity | 9.51 | 6.75 | |
| UMB Scout Internl Fund | UMBWX | A | Non-US Equity | 9.48 | 15.18 | |
| Vanguard Global Equity Fund | VHGEX | A+ | Global Equity | 13.42 | 8.94 | |
| S&P 500 Composite Total Return | 3.42 | 2.71 | ||||
| Source: TheStreet.com Ratings and Bloomberg. | ||||||
| American Funds New Perspective R5's track record is based on prepended data. | ||||||
| American Funds New Perspective R5 (RNPFX) * |
American Funds New Perspective A (ANWPX) |
S&P 500 Total Ret'n |
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| CALENDAR 1998 | 28.81 | 28.46 | 28.57 | |||
| CALENDAR 1999 | 40.38 | 40.07 | 21.05 | |||
| CALENDAR 2000 | -7.04 | -7.24 | -9.11 | |||
| CALENDAR 2001 | -8.10 | -8.30 | -11.88 | |||
| CALENDAR 2002 | -15.80 | -16.05 | -22.10 | |||
| CALENDAR 2003 | 37.10 | 36.76 | 28.69 | |||
| CALENDAR 2004 | 14.55 | 14.27 | 10.87 | |||
| CALENDAR 2005 | 11.53 | 11.28 | 4.89 | |||
| CALENDAR 2006 | 20.21 | 19.87 | 15.80 | |||
| 2007 THRU 11/19 | 14.11 | 13.89 | 2.71 | |||
| * "Prepend" performance for periods prior to first public offering date of 5/15/2002. Source: TheStreet.com Ratings and Bloomberg. |
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| The Champion Bill Miller beat the S&P for 15 straight years |
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| CAL. YEAR | LEGG MASON VALUE TRUST (LMVTX) | S&P 500 TOTAL RETURN | ||||
| 1991 | 34.73 | 30.47 | ||||
| 1992 | 11.44 | 7.62 | ||||
| 1993 | 11.26 | 10.07 | ||||
| 1994 | 1.39 | 1.32 | ||||
| 1995 | 40.76 | 37.58 | ||||
| 1996 | 38.43 | 22.96 | ||||
| 1997 | 37.05 | 33.36 | ||||
| 1998 | 48.04 | 28.57 | ||||
| 1999 | 26.71 | 21.05 | ||||
| 2000 | -7.14 | -9.11 | ||||
| 2001 | -9.29 | -11.88 | ||||
| 2002 | -18.92 | -22.10 | ||||
| 2003 | 43.53 | 28.69 | ||||
| 2004 | 11.96 | 10.87 | ||||
| 2005 | 5.32 | 4.89 | ||||
| Source: TheStreet.com Ratings | ||||||
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