Three Ways to Score With Retail, Restaurant Stocks

11/20/07 - 12:03 PM EST

Scott Rothbort

  • Check to see how long the checkout lines are at different stores. For example, if you went to an Apple(AAPL Quote - Cramer on AAPL - Stock Picks) store during the last few months, then you could appreciate the strength of the company's sales.
  • Ask a few clerks at various stores how business is. You might be surprised how open and chatty they can be.
  • Is foot traffic being converted into sales? Count the number of people going into a particular store and the number of people coming out of it with that store's shopping bag.
  • Look at the inventory. What items are fully stocked? What items are flying off the shelves? Is the store discounting many products or just a few? Is non-seasonal or aged inventory still on the floor or has it been cleared out?
  • Are parents shopping with their children? I find that successful concept stores will have parents shopping with and paying for their kids with their credit cards. Ultimately, parents have both the final say and the means to make large purchases.
  • Are the store employees busy or are they milling around and wasting time? An idle staff might be the sign of an idle business.

Finally, don't confuse "good" products with "good" companies. A product might generate a lot of hype and foot traffic, but all that interest still needs to be converted into sales.

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At the time of publication, Rothbort was long DKS, MCD, COST and AAPL, although positions can change at any time.

Scott Rothbort has over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. In 2002, Rothbort founded LakeView Asset Management, LLC, a registered investment advisor based in Millburn, N.J., which offers customized individually managed separate accounts, including proprietary long/short strategies to its high net worth clientele.

Immediately prior to that, Rothbort worked at Merrill Lynch for 10 years, where he was instrumental in building the global equity derivative business and managed the global equity swap business from its inception. Rothbort previously held international assignments in Tokyo, Hong Kong and London while working for Morgan Stanley and County NatWest Securities.

Rothbort holds an MBA in finance and international business from the Stern School of Business of New York University and a BS in economics and accounting from the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania. He is a Professor of Finance and the Chief Market Strategist for the Stillman School of Business of Seton Hall University.

For more information about Scott Rothbort and LakeView Asset Management, LLC, visit the company's Web site at www.lakeviewasset.com. Scott appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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