Economic Calendar: October 1- October 5

Time (EST) Indicator (click for definition) Source (click for press release) Actual Forecast Previous (revised) Previous (original) Monday, October 1 10 a.m. ISM Index - Manufacturing for September Institute for Supply Management 52.0 52.5 52.9 52.9 Tuesday, October 2 9 a.m. ICSC-UBS Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot for the week ended September 29 International Council of Shopping Centers and UBS 0.0% n.a. -1.0% -1.0% 9 a.m. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the week ended September 29, vs. August Redbook Research +1.5% n.a. +0.3% +0.5%* Wednesday, October 3 9 a.m. Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended September 28 -- Market Composite Index Mortgage Bankers Association 636.7 n.a. 654.2 654.2 Purchase Index 411.4 n.a. 418.8 418.8 9 a.m. Consumer Comfort Index for the week ended September 30 ABC News and Washington Post -12 n.a. -11 -11 10 a.m. ISM Services - Non-Manufacturing for September Institute for Supply Management 54.8 55.0 55.8 55.8 Thursday, October 4 8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended September 29 Labor Department +317,000 +310,000 +301,000 +298,000 Four-week average +313,000 n.a. +312,000 +312,000 10 a.m. Factory orders for August Census Bureau -3.3% -2.8% +3.4% +3.7% Friday, October 5 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm payrolls for September Labor Department +110,000 +100,000 +89,000 -4,000 Average hourly earnings +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Unemployment rate +4.7% +4.7% +4.6% +4.6% Augmented unemployment rate +7.6% n.a. +7.5% +7.5% Pool of available workers unchgd. n.a. 12M 12M 10:30 a.m. Weekly Leading Index for the week ended September 28 Economic Cycle Research Institute +0.9% n.a. +0.9% +1.0%

P-Preliminary forecast
*Month through previous Saturday, vs. prior month
Expectations as reported by Reuters

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