12% Dividend Yield? What's Not to Love?

Stock quotes in this article: MWD  

Nonetheless, you are investing in a diversified fund that is professionally managed by Morgan Stanley.

As for the bonds, there is something quaintly old-fashioned about investors dumping "emerging market" government debt in a financial panic and seeking the "safe haven" of U.S. dollar-denominated debt instead.

The "emerging markets" have come a long way since the meltdown of 1997-98. These days, most of them are running huge current account surpluses. They're exporting like crazy and racking up billions of dollars in reserves in their central bank vaults. Government debt in most countries is falling quickly, and they have now become net creditor nations.

The ones running the big deficits? The ones living beyond their means and borrowing from the rest of the world to keep going?

Um, that would be us.

Few things are as infuriating as the foolish way the investment business talks about "risk." The reality is that risk is a function of the price you pay.

U.S. government bonds are "safe" in the sense that they will, technically, pay you back. But right now, 30-year Treasuries are yielding less than 5%. Buyers had better pray inflation remains at bay over the next few decades, or the checks they get back won't be worth much.

Decades.

If you think you know where the consumer price index will be in 2020, good luck.

On the other hand, a 12% yield seems to offer a more compelling margin of safety. McKinnon argued recently, "Over the medium term we're still very confident in our view that the yields available in this marketplace are overcompensating you for the risk."

She's probably right.

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In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, Brett Arends doesn't own or short individual stocks. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. Arends takes a critical look inside mutual funds and the personal finance industry in a twice-weekly column that ranges from investment advice for the general reader to the industry's latest scoop. Prior to joining TheStreet.com in 2006, he worked for more than two years at the Boston Herald, where he revived the paper's well-known 'On State Street' finance column and was part of a team that won two SABEW awards in 2005. He had previously written for the Daily Telegraph and Daily Mail newspapers in London, the magazine Private Eye, and for Global Agenda, the official magazine of the World Economic Summit in Davos, Switzerland. Arends has also written a book on sports 'futures' betting.

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