The Business Press Maven

Media See Intel Profit, Miss the Margins

 

Not exactly.

At the halfway point in the piece, we tiptoe past the gross-margin issue that should have defined the article. Sure enough, in the midst of a battle that is cutting prices to ribbons, gross margins came in at 46.9%, which was below expectations of 48%.

An article that does not place this first is off balance. But then, after bringing this up, the article concludes with Intel's claim that third-quarter margins will be just groovy, not even questioning why they would underperform now and do fine in a few months. Hey, it might happen. But such unlikely turns need to be explained. Did someone break out the price-war peace pipe? I don't think so...

Providing Perspective

Plenty of other media outlets, including TSC, got this right, but even The Wall Street Journal went awry. Look at this headline:

"Intel Signals Strong Chip Demand: Increase in Profit of 44% Shows Financial Progress, But Margins Disappoint."

Look, The Business Press Maven is not saying that Intel, a great company, showed no progress. But to put the situation in proper perspective for a company engaged in a price war with no visible end, we must put the horse before the cart, the chicken before the egg, margins comparisons before profit or revenue growth.

The Journal told us that there was strong chip demand? So what? Cut the price of your lemonade in half and you'll have stronger demand, no? But it won't do you much good.

To give investors a properly prioritized sense of what is going on, The Wall Street Journal should have said: "Margins Disappoint, Even as Revenue and Profits Increase."

The margin disappointment is more telling than the earnings increase or revenue, especially with the company's claim that it is going to hit margins in the low 50s in the third quarter.

Talk about the possibility of something burning.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

At the time of publication, Fuchs had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this column.

A journalist with a background on Wall Street, Marek Fuchs has written the County Lines column for The New York Times for the past five years. He also contributes regular breaking news and feature stories to many of the paper's other sections, including Metro, National and Sports. Fuchs was the editor-in-chief of Fertilemind.net, a financial Web site twice named "Best of the Web" by Forbes Magazine. He was also a stockbroker with Shearson Lehman Brothers in Manhattan and a money manager. He is currently writing a chapter for a book coming out in early 2007 on a really embarrassing subject. He lives in a loud house with three children. Fuchs appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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