The Finance Professor

Five Missteps to Avoid in Earnings Season

 

Income taxes vary from company to company, country to country and, yes, quarter to quarter. In fact, a small deviation in income tax rates can create a penny or more of EPS variance in either direction. Be sure that you normalize the impact of taxes when comparing results with other periods, guidance or consensus estimates.

Mistake 5: Not Accounting for Changes in Accounting

Accounting regulations are quite complex. From time to time, companies will adopt new accounting rules. This can cause a great deal of confusion among investors when reading quarterly earnings results and listening to conference calls. The implementation of new accounting rules can cause a relative discrepancy between the results of a current period and those of a comparable prior period.

A common investor mistake is to compare these two sets of results. So be on the lookout for reconciliations or pro-forma presentations to ensure that you have an apples-to-apples comparison when you analyze a company's quarter. A recent example of an accounting change that caused a great deal of anxiety was SFAS-123R (Accounting for Stock Based Compensation).

Earnings Homework

As you prepare for another blitzkrieg of earnings, here is some homework to keep you on your toes:

  • Make sure that you read a company's entire earnings press release. Do not react to headline information before analyzing the company's quarter and its future prospects.
  • Understand the company's guidance relative to the current results and expectations as well as management's history of providing conservative or aggressive outlooks.
  • Understand the implications of recent accounting rule updates.

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At the time of publication, Rothbort was long AAPL, GOOG and GS, although positions can change at any time.

Scott Rothbort has over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. In 2002, Rothbort founded LakeView Asset Management, LLC, a registered investment advisor based in Millburn, N.J., which offers customized individually managed separate accounts, including proprietary long/short strategies to its high net worth clientele.

Immediately prior to that, Rothbort worked at Merrill Lynch for 10 years, where he was instrumental in building the global equity derivative business and managed the global equity swap business from its inception. Rothbort previously held international assignments in Tokyo, Hong Kong and London while working for Morgan Stanley and County NatWest Securities.

Rothbort holds an MBA in finance and international business from the Stern School of Business of New York University and a BS in economics and accounting from the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania. He is a Professor of Finance and the Chief Market Strategist for the Stillman School of Business of Seton Hall University.

For more information about Scott Rothbort and LakeView Asset Management, LLC, visit the company's Web site at www.lakeviewasset.com. Scott appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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