Cheer, Cheer for Old...

 

We had the dreaded "ohfer" last week -- going 0-for-3 with our picks, lowering our preseason record to 1-3. At least Uncle Joe got picked as the vice-presidential candidate on the Democratic ticket (just kidding)! This week, we're going to look at the betting lines on the college football victory totals, and get you ready for the regular season.

Here are the anticipated victory totals for some of the top college teams, posted by the Mandalay Bay Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas. The bettor's job is to guess whether the team will win more or fewer games.

How Many Will They Win?
Oddsmakers play a guessing game with college football teams.
Team Over-Under Win Total Price Adjustment Total Games Scheduled
Florida State 11 Over -180 Under +140 12
Wisconsin 10 1/2 Over -140 Under +100 12
Kansas State 10 1/2 Over +120 Under -160 12
Nebraska 10 Over -140 Under +100 11
Virginia Tech 10 Over -120 Under -120 12
Michigan 8 1/2 Over -140 Under +100 11
Alabama 8 1/2 Over -140 Under +100 11
Tennessee 8 1/2 Over -120 Under -120 11
Penn State 8 1/2 Over -120 Under -120 12
Florida 8 1/2 Over -120 Under -120 11
Texas 8 1/2 Over -120 Under -120 11
Miami, Fla. 8 1/2 Over -110 Under -130 11
Clemson 8 Over -140 Under +100 11
Texas A & M 8 Over +110 Under -150 11
Purdue 8 Over +120 Under -160 11
Georgia 8 Over +120 Under -160 11
Ohio State 7 1/2 Over -140 Under +100 11
Virginia 7 1/2 Over -130 Under -110 11
Oklahoma 7 1/2 Over +120 Under -160 11
Source: Mandalay Bay Hotel Casino Odds

Although the normal college season is 11 games, a number of teams are playing an extra game, including Florida State, Wisconsin, Kansas State, Virginia Tech and Penn State. Virginia Tech has only three returning starters on defense and will be overrated all season because the public is infatuated with its quarterback, Michael Vick. I have bet on the under and will lose if the team goes undefeated or loses only once.

My belief is that, with a rebuilt defense, the Hokies will struggle on the road against Syracuse (in a major revenge game for Syracuse) and the University of Miami. If Vick is injured during the season, my bet will almost surely be a winning one. I also have placed a wager on the Virginia Tech-Georgia Tech game on Aug. 27 to go over the posted total of 54 1/2 points. Virginia Tech should score plenty of points with its potent offense and, as noted above, the defense will have to be rebuilt this year. Thus, I look for a high-scoring game.

Fishing Lessons

The Peace Corps has used the slogan, "Give me a fish and you feed me for one day, teach me how to fish and you feed me for the rest of my life." This column, like those of James Cramer, Jim Seymour and Gary B. Smith, attempts to teach you how to handicap and obtain useful information so that you no longer make uninformed picks.

The following sites are extremely helpful in obtaining information. All are free. Both www.sportspages.com and www.newspapers.com provide links to newspapers from around the country. During football season, reading the local newspapers of the schools or professional teams you are thinking about wagering on gives you a huge edge over the oddsmaker. It provides an opportunity to obtain information that is not available at the time the betting line on the game is established and, often, before the oddsmaker can react to a key injury. Another site that provides real-time injury information as well as reports from around the country is www.kffl.com, a fantasy football Web site. Of course, the old standby of www.espn.go.com provides loads of useful sports information.

For wagering information, vegasinsider.com and donbest.com are most helpful. The Don Best site offers a free three-month subscription to its Island Express service, which allows you to access real-time line movements at a variety of offshore sports books. The Vegas Insider site provides extensive factual information concerning each week's games and provides 15-minute delayed odds on the lines at a number of Las Vegas sports books.

This Week's Picks

New York Giants (plus 6) over Jacksonville Jaguars (Friday Night on CBS at 8 p.m. EDT)

Underdogs receiving three points or more are 8-1-1 against the spread this preseason. The only underdog in this range failing to cover was the Raiders last week.

This week, the Giants travel to Jacksonville. Last week, Jacksonville defeated Carolina, 34-14. Carolina, however, held 18 players out of the game, including nine starters. As was the case last week, Jacksonville's first-string offensive line has been decimated by injuries and that assures that quarterback Mark Brunell's playing time will be extremely limited. The Giants lost to the Chicago Bears, 20-8, despite the fact that New York had a 2-1 advantage on offense. Our main worry is that Jacksonville, under Coach Tom Coughlin, is 7-1 against the spread in the last four years at home in preseason games. We expect a competitive effort from the Giants in front of a national television audience, and will take the six points.Tennessee Titans (minus 1 1/2) over St. Louis Rams (Monday night)

In this exhibition rematch of the Super Bowl, the key question is which team has the greater motivation. This question was answered for me on Thursday morning when The Tennessean newspaper reported that Titans quarterback Steve McNair is expected to play on Monday despite a shoulder injury. The Rams have nothing to prove, and quarterback Kurt Warner is expected to play less than one quarter. We'll lay the small price on the Titans, who will be playing at home before an expected sellout crowd.

Lieberman's Odds on
Who Will Win $1,000,000
on Survivor:

Susan 5-2
Rudy 3-1
Kelly 4-1
Sean 4-1
Richard 20-1
  • Loading Comments...
  •  

SHARE:

  • email
  • print
  • comment
  • digg
  • delicious
  • linkedin
Barry Lieberman was a litigator with the United States Department of Justice for nine years and is currently the general counsel for a company that operates four hotel-casinos in Las Vegas. He has been an amateur gambler for more than 20 years and successfully concluded last football season by winning on 55% of his college and pro selections posted on TheStreet.com. He welcomes your feedback at Barry Lieberman.

Recent Comments





Connect with TheStreet

Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
10,344.84 1,095.63 2,144.60 32.01
Oil *
78.55
UP
34.92
UP
4.14
UP
6.16
DOWN
0.30
10 Yr
3.20%
SPDR Gold
115.65
+0.34%
+0.38%
+0.29%
-0.93%
Data delayed 20 minutes

Brokerage Partners

TheStreet Premium Services

All Services