IRAs

IRA Investing: Don't Sell IRA Stocks at New Highs

Stock quotes in this article: LAYN , SHS , CF  

This ratio is currently fluctuating very close to the level of one, indicating that a positive environment is in place for equity prices.

What could cause this ratio to increase and become more bearish? Clearly, higher bond yields that would probably be caused by increasing inflation would be negative. Also, decreasing corporate earnings that would cause P/Es to increase would be a negative.

Currently, though, this indicator is in a very positive position.

So my longer-term indicators are still bullish, even at these market levels. My intermediate-term indicators did not show any change last week, and all three remain neutral. This set of circumstances leads me to use a target cash position of 10% in my IRA, and my actual cash position at the end of last week was 11.6%.

My cash position actually increased last week due to my sale of Sauer-Danfoss(SHS Quote). I had held this stock for seven months, and it no longer appeared on my screening system as a buy. Therefore, I liquidated my position. I was not able to find a suitable replacement last week, but I am continuing to look for new ideas.

Last week was a good one for my IRA because I was able to pull ahead of the S&P 500 for the second quarter. Among the good performers was CF Industries(CF Quote), which was up more than 9% as the fertilizer industry continues to exhibit good momentum.

Another winner was Layne Christensen(LAYN Quote), which I just purchased a couple of weeks ago. The company reported earnings for the quarter ended April 30, 2007, that were substantially ahead of estimates, leading to an increase in price of 8.5% for the week. Even after the move last week, I still consider Layne Christensen to be a buy.

The following table shows the current holdings in my IRA:


Symbol Name Purchase Date Cost Price Gain
Regular Holdings
ADPI American Dental Partners 1/30/2007 $20.75 $25.94 25.01%
AHG Apria Healthcare 11/16/2006 $24.42 $29.27 19.86%
AMP Ameriprise Financial 12/18/2006 $55.09 $63.30 14.90%
AMSF Amerisafe 12/18/2006 $14.18 $18.40 29.76%
BDX Becton Dickinson 11/10/2006 $71.29 $76.02 6.63%
BKI Buckeye Technologies 11/16/2006 $11.83 $14.46 22.23%
CALM Cal-Maine Foods 4/16/2007 $13.30 $13.46 1.20%
CF CF Industries 5/3/2007 $40.57 $46.31 14.15%
CGX Consolidated Graphics 5/1/2007 $76.88 $73.80 -4.01%
CHUX O'Charley's 2/1/2007 $21.55 $22.95 6.50%
GIB CGI Group 3/9/2007 $8.52 $10.89 27.82%
INMD Integramed America 2/6/2007 $11.47 $12.10 5.49%
KCI Kinetic Concepts 2/6/2007 $49.75 $51.26 3.04%
LAYN Layne Christensen 5/22/2007 $41.26 $44.09 6.86%
METH Methode Electronics 3/8/2007 $12.93 $15.94 23.28%
NOOF New Frontier Media 1/8/2007 $9.46 $9.03 -4.55%
QD QuadraMed 3/19/2007 $3.06 $3.26 6.54%
SCHL Scholastic 1/3/2007 $36.23 $32.51 -10.27%
TBSI TBS International 5/15/2007 $18.48 $22.70 22.84%
WEL Boots & Coots 3/22/2007 $2.25 $2.03 -9.78%
WHQ W-H Energy Services 5/17/2007 $60.96 $63.92 4.86%
WRNC Warnaco Group 3/14/2007 $26.99 $34.25 26.90%
One Month Screen
CR Crane Company 5/15/2007 $42.53 $43.86 3.13%
GDI Gardner Denver 5/15/2007 $39.49 $41.33 4.66%
NCX Nova Chemicals 5/15/2007 $35.54 $35.75 0.59%
PAS PepsiAmericas 5/15/2007 $24.47 $24.68 0.86%
TFX Teleflex 5/15/2007 $75.49 $80.73 6.94%
Performance Results As Of 6/1/2007 IRA S&P 500
Quarter To Date 9.1% 8.1%
Year To Date 18.5% 8.8%
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At the time of publication, Moore was long all stocks in the IRA table, although positions may change at any time.

Richard Moore, CFA, has 40 years of experience in various facets of the investment business. He has been employed by banks, mutual funds and investment advisory organizations during his career and has also owned retail and service businesses. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Moore appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.





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