Google's Lag Lingers

 

Updated from 11:12 a.m. EDT

Five full months into 2007, Google(GOOG) shares are on track to be the worst performer among Internet giants this year.

The stock, which closed Friday at $483.52, has traded sideways since the start of the year and is up only 4% since early January 2006. And the shares continue to command a remarkably poor valuation, especially considering the company has delivered nothing but stellar earnings and is tagged with enthusiastic buy recommendations by a number of high-profile investment banks.

Google trades at only 25 times forward earnings -- lackluster by Internet standards, particularly given the bullish growth forecasts by many on Wall Street. "Internet stocks historically carry PEG multiples [a combined ratio of valuation and growth] closer to 1.5x," American Technology Research analyst Rob Sanderson wrote in a research note last week. "But Google is only half this ratio despite being the clear powerhouse."

So why, as Sanderson points out, is Google essentially stuck "at its all-time low for valuation"? Sell-side analysts on Wall Street are puzzled about why a stock so unequivocally supported by them seems stagnant. One fund manager described the failure of the stock to perform as simply "perplexing."

While there aren't any easy answers, there are a number of tangible things keeping the stock from breaking from its range-bound ways.

For starters, most big money managers who are able to move markets when they gobble up stocks already own Google, says S&P equity analyst Scott Kessler. That leaves very few major players scrambling to get in -- and, as a result, less stimulus to bid up shares in the process, he says.

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