Take the Long View on Melco

Stock quotes in this article: MPEL , WYNN , STN  

Editor's note: "Bricks and Mortar" is a series of columns written by real estate reporter Nicholas Yulico meant to help TheStreet.com readers generate real estate and gaming-related stock ideas.


Macau casino operator Melco PBL(MPEL Quote) has been battered this week, but nervous investors should ignore the damage and look longer term.

The Macau casino market is growing at a tremendous rate, and Melco's casinos will eventually take a good chunk of these profits.

At the current growth rate, the entire Macau market will have $10 billion of annual revenue by year's end, compared to just under $7 billion last year, when the Chinese region surpassed Las Vegas as the largest gambling destination in the world.

Still, Melco shares have fallen about 12% this week, with the stock hitting a fresh 52-week low of $14.12. All this red is painful for investors, but I still think the stock is a buy, for reasons I laid out here and here

On Tuesday, Melco reported a $27 million loss in for the first quarter, but the results don't really matter, since they don't include contributions from the company's first casino. But Melco management could have done a better job on its earnings call soothing investors, who have been jittery since the weekend opening of the casino presented some short-term issues .

The Crown Macau opened to large crowds, but Melco's stock sold off because the company failed to get all its tables for high-rollers up and running in time for the opening. These tables are important, since the Crown will compete with Wynn Resorts'(WYNN Quote) Macau casino to become the leading high-roller gambling destination in Asia.

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