Talking to Management, Part 5: Understanding Major Shifts

05/11/07 - 05:32 PM EDT

David Merkel

Summary

The difference between my approach and the approach of most analysts is that I think about the business and its strategy rather than the next quarter or year's earnings. My methods probably won't help you make money in the short run but will help you make money in the long run as you identify intelligent management teams that understand how to compete for the long term, rather than those that can manage only next quarter's GAAP earnings.

Two additional side benefits to doing it my way: First, the management teams will like talking with you. I can't tell you how many times managers have said they appreciated my businesslike approach to analyzing their companies. Second, it will translate back into an improved understanding of the business you presently work in, as you think about strategic issues there.

Key Points:

  • Management needs to be in touch with changes in technology, culture and regulations.
  • Flesh out competitive strategy by asking about acquisitions.
  • These questions take the long-term view, unlike most analysts' quarter-focused queries.

Editor's note: We're pleased to present David Merkel's five-part series on questions to ask the management of a public company. Be sure to read Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 and Part 4.

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At the time of publication, Merkel and/or his fund was short General Motors and Ford, though positions may change at any time.

David J. Merkel, CFA, FSA, is a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. Previously, he managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Merkel cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

Analyst Certification: All of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst about any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of the compensation of the research analyst named herein was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst in this report.

Merkel is employed by Hovde Capital Advisors LLC (the "firm"), a registered investment advisor with its principal office located in Washington, D.C. The Firm and/or its affiliates have or may have a long or short position or holding in the securities, options on securities, or other related investments of the issuers mentioned herein.

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