Market Features

What a Week: Balky Bulls

 

No one would ever confuse Hays, Goldman or Peroni for Doug Kass, so I ask (again): Where are the wild-eyed bulls?

They're absent on the sell side too, according to Seeking Alpha, which reports sell-side analysts currently "rate a lower percentage of [S&P 500] stocks as buys than at any other time over the last 10 years. It appears as though the closer the S&P 500 gets to its old highs, the less likely analysts are to embrace this bull market."

Levkovich, for one, remains upbeat about stocks, sticking with his year-end targets of Dow 13,800, S&P 1600 and 888 for the Russell 2000.

"We keep hearing 'the markets run too far,' but it's been legitimized by earnings," he says.

With about 80% of the S&P 500 having reported, first-quarter earnings are coming in at 12%, according to Bloomberg. Firms are not only whipping the consensus estimate of 3.2% year-over-year growth from April 1, but they're also topping the consensus from January of 8.4%, Levkovich notes. "People were just way too cautious on the earnings front."

That caution remains the watchword for many, after another week of gains suggests money remains on the sidelines -- or actively short -- and that the rally may not have breathed its last just yet.

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Aaron L. Task is editor at large of TheStreet.com. In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, he doesn't own or short individual stocks, although he owns stock in TheStreet.com. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. He appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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