Personal Finance

Understanding the Four Measures of Volatility

 

Type 4: Intraday Volatility

Finally, we have intraday volatility. This represents the market swings during the course of a trading day and is the most noticeable and readily available definition of volatility. Intraday volatility is the Justice Potter Stewart type of volatility because it's hard to define but you know it when you see it. A common mistake is equating intraday volatility with the implied volatility index. Both of these forms of volatility are not interchangeable, but do carry their own importance in ascertaining investor sentiment and expectations.

I have calculated two measures of market volatility using data from the S&P 500. The first is intraday volatility which reflects the difference between the high and low on the day divided by the closing price of the day for the SPX. The second, LakeView Asset Management VDEV, is a proprietary measure of volatility that I created using historical trends in the SPX to predict future volatility. The VDEV will be discussed in a future installment of this series.


Click here for a larger view the intraday volatility chart.

In summary, here is a recap of the four types of volatility:

  • historical volatility -- the movement of an asset or asset class relative to itself;
  • implied volatility -- volatility that is embedded in an option price;
  • volatility index -- a weighted average of implied volatilities for options on a particular index;
  • intraday volatility -- the price movements in a stock or index on or during a given trading day.

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At the time of publication, Rothbort was long SPY, although positions can change at any time.

Scott Rothbort has over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. In 2002, Rothbort founded LakeView Asset Management, LLC, a registered investment advisor based in Millburn, N.J., which offers customized individually managed separate accounts, including proprietary long/short strategies to its high net worth clientele.

Immediately prior to that, Rothbort worked at Merrill Lynch for 10 years, where he was instrumental in building the global equity derivative business and managed the global equity swap business from its inception. Rothbort previously held international assignments in Tokyo, Hong Kong and London while working for Morgan Stanley and County NatWest Securities.

Rothbort holds an MBA in finance and international business from the Stern School of Business of New York University and a BS in economics and accounting from the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania. He is a Professor of Finance and the Chief Market Strategist for the Stillman School of Business of Seton Hall University.

For more information about Scott Rothbort and LakeView Asset Management, LLC, visit the company's Web site at www.lakeviewasset.com. Scott appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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