Economic Calendar: February 12-February 16

Time (EST) Indicator (click for definition) Source (click for press release) Actual Forecast Previous (revised) Previous (original) Monday, February 12 2 p.m. Federal budget for January FY '07 Treasury Department $38.2B $40.0B $21.0B $21.0B (January FY '06) Tuesday, February 13 8:30 a.m. International trade for December Commerce Department -$61.2B -$59.5B -$58.1B -$58.2B 9 a.m. ICSC-UBS Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot for the week ended February 10 International Council of Shopping Centers and UBS -0.8% n.a. +1.3% +1.3% 9 a.m. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the week ended February 10, vs. January Redbook Research +2.5% n.a. -1.4% -1.4%* Wednesday, February 14 8:30 a.m. Retail sales for January Census Bureau 0.0% +0.3% +1.2% +0.9% Ex-autos +0.3% +0.4% +1.3% +1.0% 9 a.m. Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended February 9 -- Market Composite Index Mortgage Bankers Association 639.8 n.a. 630.1 630.1 Purchase Index 400.7 n.a. 404.7 404.7 9 a.m. Consumer Comfort Index for the week ended February 11 ABC News and Washington Post -3 n.a. -1 -1 10 a.m. Bernanke speech Federal Reserve The Fed chairman speaks to Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs on the topic: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report 10 a.m. Business inventories for December Census Bureau 0.0% +0.1% +0.2% +0.4% Thursday, February 15 8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended February 10 Labor Department +357,000 +315,000 +313,000 +311,000 Four-week average +326,000 n.a. +309,000 +308,000 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index for January Labor Department -1.2% n.a. +1.1% +1.1% Export Price Index +0.3% n.a. +0.7% +0.7% 9:15 a.m. Industrial production for January Federal Reserve -0.5% 0.0% +0.4% +0.4% Capacity utilization 81.2% 81.7% 81.8% 81.8% 10 a.m. Bernanke speech Federal Reserve The Fed chairman speaks to House Committee on Financial Services on the topic: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report 12 p.m. Philadelphia Fed Index for February Philadelphia Fed 0.6 4.0 8.3 8.3 2:30 p.m. Treasury auction announcement Bureau of the Public Debt The Treasury announces the size of its next monthly two-year and five-year note auctions, next Wednesday and Thursday. Friday, February 16 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index for January Labor Department -0.6% -0.6% +0.9% +0.9% Ex- food and energy +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% 8:30 a.m. Housing starts for January Census Bureau 1.408M 1.600M 1.643M 1.642M Building permits 1.568M 1.590M 1.613M 1.613M 9:45 a.m. Consumer Sentiment Index for February -- preliminary University of Michigan 93.3 96.5 96.9 96.9 10:30 a.m. Weekly Leading Index for the week ended February 9 Economic Cycle Research Institute +3.5% n.a. +4.3% +4.0%

P-Preliminary forecast
*Month through previous Saturday, vs. prior month
Expectations as reported by Reuters

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