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Buyout Bid Juices Herbalife

02/05/07 - 11:21 AM EST

HLF

Michael Comeau

Editor's note: This Breakout Stocks Alert was originally sent to subscribers Feb. 5 at 9:37 a.m. EST. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com readers.


Herbalife (HLF - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) received a takeover bid Friday after the close, and we'd like to update readers on the implications. The stock is trading sharply higher to $39.50, and we are moving it to a Two rating and trimming 200 of the 550 shares in the Breakout Stocks model portfolio.

Private-equity firm J.H. Whitney issued a proposal to acquire Herbalife for $38 a share in cash, a 15% premium to Friday's closing price. Whitney actually took Herbalife private in 2002 with another private-equity firm, Golden Gate Capital, before taking it public in December 2004. Whitney owns 27% of Herbalife's stock, and its managing partner, Peter Castleman, serves as chairman of Herbalife's board of directors. So Whitney has a good understanding of Herbalife's business.

We have written numerous times that Herbalife could be an attractive takeover target because of its hefty cash flow, which would allow the company to support a lot of debt. Accordingly, Whitney expects to raise $2 billion in debt financing for this deal.

After trading above $41 a share in November and December last year, Herbalife shares fell as low as $29.25 in January when the company lowered 2007 revenue guidance. The weaker outlook stemmed from difficulties in Mexico, though Herbalife kept earnings guidance intact. This slump in the share price has given Whitney an opportunity to attempt to take the company private ahead of Herbalife's expected approval to begin network marketing in China.

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In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, Michael Comeau doesn't own or short individual stocks. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. Comeau is a research analyst at TheStreet.com. In this role he performs stock analysis for TheStreet.com Breakout Stocks, and is also a regular contributor to RealMoney.com. Prior to his arrival at TSC in June 2004, Comeau worked as a Consultant to Toyota Motor North America, performing in-depth research on automotive industry issues, primarily in the areas of alternative engine technologies, competitive analysis and macroeconomics. His primary market interests include consumer technology, specialty retail, and small-caps. Comeau received a bachelor's degree in Finance from Brooklyn College, and has completed Level 1 of the CFA program.. He appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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