This year I expect more research money to be thrown at the same sectors, with the possibility that the Bush administration will actually apply more federal cash to the big job: building unit volume in order to drive down costs for wind and solar, the most commercially developed of these technologies.
What does all this amount to from an investor's perspective? I'd break down the opportunities into two groups.Group 1: Saving the World
These stocks maximize your long-term potential returns, since they really can play a role in solving the global-warming problem. Wind and solar: These technologies are set to go over the top and into the commercial market. There are several factors putting a breeze at the back of wind technology:- More cost-efficient turbines have driven down the cost of using the wind to produce electricity by about 50% over the past 15 years.
- The European Union's carbon-trading systems put a price on pollution, making it more costly for utilities to do business the old way.
- Big utilities are able to raise capital at extremely low costs.
- Government funding for global-warming programs will be enough to finance the construction of manufacturing facilities that will remove the current solar-cell bottleneck. It's hard to grow a solar-energy market when no one can get enough raw material to build solar cells.
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