Still Bullish After All These Weeks

Stock quotes in this article: INTC  

There's no letup in the bullishness expressed in our TheStreet.com RealMoney Barometer survey.

For the 14th week running now, poll participants expect the market to rise. Of the 1,200 folks who took the survey, 767, or 64%, expect the market to move higher this week. Neutral was the sentiment of 240, or 20%, with bearishness coming in at only 193 votes, or 16%.

There also was a peculiar result in the sector outlook. Integrated oil was tapped as both most likely to rise and most likely to fall this week.

Those bearish on energy presumably are expecting the price of crude oil to continue to drop. And the oil bulls probably expect a bottom soon.

So far on Tuesday, the bears are right, because crude oil was recently down $2.24 a barrel to $50.75.

The stock market was trading modestly lower on Tuesday, as we enter the core of earnings season. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down a bit more than 5 points, the Nasdaq Composite was down 8 points, and the S&P 500 was down a point and change.

Wall Street is coming off a week in which the Dow rose 158 points, or 1.3%, and the S&P 500 added 21 points, or 1.5%. The Nasdaq jumped 69 points, or 2.8%. On Friday, the Dow closed at 12,556.08, its 24th record finish since October.

The tech sector will remain in focus after the market closes, when chipmaker and Dow component Intel(INTC Quote) posts its quarterly results.

According to Thomson First Call, analysts expect the chip giant to post fourth-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share, down from 40 cents a year ago, on revenue of $9.45 billion. Intel's own projections called for revenue of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion.

This trading week is only four days, as the market was closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.

Below are the complete poll results.

Date Bullish Bearish Neutral Week Ending
S&P % Change
Bullish
Sector
Bearish Sector
Jan. 16 767 (64%) 193 (16%) 240 (20%) Integrated Oil Integrated Oil
Jan. 8 953 (46%) 549 (26%) 569 (27%) + 1.5% Biotechnology Integrated Oil
Jan. 3 543 (54%) 186 (18%) 276 (27%) + 0.6% Precious Metals Homebuilding
Dec. 26 194 (37%) 179 (34%) 156 (29%) + 0.5% Precious Metals Homebuilding

Sector Total Votes Percentage
Aerospace and Defense423%
Airlines434%
Automobiles121%
Beverages and Food Products151%
Biotechnology837%
Commercial Banks494%
Computers and Peripherals1028%
Consumer Nondurables141%
Energy Equipment & Services978%
HMOs and Hospitals161%
Homebuilding192%
Insurance111%
Integrated Oil14612%
Internet, Software Services1049%
Investment Bankers and Brokers1008%
Media101%
Multiline Retail121%
Pharmaceuticals373%
Precious Metals645%
Semis, Semi Equipment665%
Telecom Equipment605%
Tobacco and Alcohol242%
Utilities323%
Wireless Communications393%
Source: RealMoney.com

Sector Total Votes Percentage
Aerospace and Defense232%
Airlines746%
Automobiles696%
Beverages and Food Products212%
Biotechnology182%
Commercial Banks575%
Computers and Peripherals262%
Consumer Nondurables111%
Energy Equipment & Services1049%
HMOs and Hospitals171%
Homebuilding14412%
Insurance131%
Integrated Oil20417%
Internet, Software Services212%
Investment Bankers and Brokers182%
Media161%
Multiline Retail383%
Pharmaceuticals353%
Precious Metals928%
Semis, Semi Equipment716%
Telecom Equipment242%
Tobacco and Alcohol242%
Utilities444%
Wireless Communications292%
Source: RealMoney.com
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David Morrow is editor-in-chief of TheStreet.com. In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, he doesn't own or short individual stocks, though he owns stock in TheStreet.com. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. He appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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