Still Bullish After All These Weeks
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There's no letup in the bullishness expressed in our TheStreet.com RealMoney Barometer survey.
For the 14th week running now, poll participants expect the market to rise. Of the 1,200 folks who took the survey, 767, or 64%, expect the market to move higher this week. Neutral was the sentiment of 240, or 20%, with bearishness coming in at only 193 votes, or 16%. There also was a peculiar result in the sector outlook. Integrated oil was tapped as both most likely to rise and most likely to fall this week. Those bearish on energy presumably are expecting the price of crude oil to continue to drop. And the oil bulls probably expect a bottom soon. So far on Tuesday, the bears are right, because crude oil was recently down $2.24 a barrel to $50.75. The stock market was trading modestly lower on Tuesday, as we enter the core of earnings season. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down a bit more than 5 points, the Nasdaq Composite was down 8 points, and the S&P 500 was down a point and change. Wall Street is coming off a week in which the Dow rose 158 points, or 1.3%, and the S&P 500 added 21 points, or 1.5%. The Nasdaq jumped 69 points, or 2.8%. On Friday, the Dow closed at 12,556.08, its 24th record finish since October. The tech sector will remain in focus after the market closes, when chipmaker and Dow component Intel(INTC Quote) posts its quarterly results. According to Thomson First Call, analysts expect the chip giant to post fourth-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share, down from 40 cents a year ago, on revenue of $9.45 billion. Intel's own projections called for revenue of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion. This trading week is only four days, as the market was closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. Below are the complete poll results.| Date | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral | Week Ending S&P % Change |
Bullish Sector |
Bearish Sector |
| Jan. 16 | 767 (64%) | 193 (16%) | 240 (20%) | Integrated Oil | Integrated Oil | |
| Jan. 8 | 953 (46%) | 549 (26%) | 569 (27%) | + 1.5% | Biotechnology | Integrated Oil |
| Jan. 3 | 543 (54%) | 186 (18%) | 276 (27%) | + 0.6% | Precious Metals | Homebuilding |
| Dec. 26 | 194 (37%) | 179 (34%) | 156 (29%) | + 0.5% | Precious Metals | Homebuilding |
| Sector | Total Votes | Percentage |
| Aerospace and Defense | 42 | 3% |
| Airlines | 43 | 4% |
| Automobiles | 12 | 1% |
| Beverages and Food Products | 15 | 1% |
| Biotechnology | 83 | 7% |
| Commercial Banks | 49 | 4% |
| Computers and Peripherals | 102 | 8% |
| Consumer Nondurables | 14 | 1% |
| Energy Equipment & Services | 97 | 8% |
| HMOs and Hospitals | 16 | 1% |
| Homebuilding | 19 | 2% |
| Insurance | 11 | 1% |
| Integrated Oil | 146 | 12% |
| Internet, Software Services | 104 | 9% |
| Investment Bankers and Brokers | 100 | 8% |
| Media | 10 | 1% |
| Multiline Retail | 12 | 1% |
| Pharmaceuticals | 37 | 3% |
| Precious Metals | 64 | 5% |
| Semis, Semi Equipment | 66 | 5% |
| Telecom Equipment | 60 | 5% |
| Tobacco and Alcohol | 24 | 2% |
| Utilities | 32 | 3% |
| Wireless Communications | 39 | 3% |
| Source: RealMoney.com | ||
| Sector | Total Votes | Percentage |
| Aerospace and Defense | 23 | 2% |
| Airlines | 74 | 6% |
| Automobiles | 69 | 6% |
| Beverages and Food Products | 21 | 2% |
| Biotechnology | 18 | 2% |
| Commercial Banks | 57 | 5% |
| Computers and Peripherals | 26 | 2% |
| Consumer Nondurables | 11 | 1% |
| Energy Equipment & Services | 104 | 9% |
| HMOs and Hospitals | 17 | 1% |
| Homebuilding | 144 | 12% |
| Insurance | 13 | 1% |
| Integrated Oil | 204 | 17% |
| Internet, Software Services | 21 | 2% |
| Investment Bankers and Brokers | 18 | 2% |
| Media | 16 | 1% |
| Multiline Retail | 38 | 3% |
| Pharmaceuticals | 35 | 3% |
| Precious Metals | 92 | 8% |
| Semis, Semi Equipment | 71 | 6% |
| Telecom Equipment | 24 | 2% |
| Tobacco and Alcohol | 24 | 2% |
| Utilities | 44 | 4% |
| Wireless Communications | 29 | 2% |
| Source: RealMoney.com | ||
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