Active Investor Update

Get Even More Bullish on the Dow, Part 2

 

ExxonMobil
Fund darling
ExxonMobil(XOM) has become the mutual funds' favorite play, even though so many other oils are so much cheaper, including Chevron(CVX) and ConocoPhillips(COP). Still the multiple's only 12, with 9% earnings growth baked in at these oil prices, so let's say the stock adds on another 5 points. I know, disappointing, but what a run! Eighty's about all it can muster in 2007, though, without oil going through $70, and I don't see that happening.

GE
Watch the dividend
General Electric(GE): This one finally got legs when it decided to boost the dividend much more than it has for the past five years, 12% vs. 9%. I believe this is just the beginning of the big boosts, and that the company can take its yield to 4% without much problem, particularly when it unloads plastics, gets the benefit of all the Zucker-led changes at NBC and quits the inanely large buyback that did nothing for shareholders. Still, the stock's not cheap: I'd take GE to $43 and then declare victory.

GM
Going nowhere
General Motors(GM): GM had its chance. It had the single greatest turnaround manager in the world on its board, Jerry York, and it spurned him and Tracinda. That said it all. This stock was headed to $40 with the man who turned around Chrysler and IBM on board. Now it is going nowhere, nowhere at all. I believe this stock will close at this level, give or take a handful of points, next year at this time.

Editor's note: This is Part 2 of Jim Cramer's review of the prospects for the stocks that make up the Dow 30. Be sure to read Part 1, Part 3 and Part 4.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

General Electric owns CNBC, for which Cramer is a featured commentator.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this column.

Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order his book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,419.86 1,313.32 2,837.36 16.25
Oil *
103.00
DOWN
160.83
DOWN
19.10
DOWN
33.63
DOWN
1.06
10 Yr
1.62%
SPDR Gold
151.91
-1.28%
-1.43%
-1.17%
-6.12%
Data delayed 20 minutes

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