TheStreet.com Ratings: Finding Growth in Singapore

Stock quotes in this article: EWS  

United Overseas Bank offers private banking and trust services, venture capital investment, merchant banking, brokerage services, insurance, fund management, derivatives and precious-metals trading and life insurance.

UOB currently trades around 17 SGD. The stock hit a low of about 13.50 SGD in October 2005, and, like DBS, has rebounded nicely to its current price, which is also its 52-week high. Of the 21 firms that cover this stock, 16 rate it buy and five hold. It trades at a very low P/E of 10.58, which suggests that its growth prospects may be limited.

Another way to view UOB may be as a good value investment. The company's market capitalization is 25.9 billion SGD ($16.4 billion), and the stock's one-year total return through Oct. 3 was 27.68%. It is difficult to see this growth being matched going forward, but the stock is expected to outperform the market in general.

Singapore Telecommunications sells and maintains telecommunications equipment and provides mobile-phone, paging, computer-network, internet and information technology services.

The stock is trading around 2.4 SGD and has been a relatively flat performer. Its current price is equal to its November 2005 level. In between, in March 2006, the shares hit their 52-week high of 2.786 SGD. The stock's one-year total return -- through Oct. 3 -- is a very poor 2.92%, and this performance may be the reason for the low P/E of 9.5. Not much in the way of growth expectations here, and not the kind of stock that investors want to see heavily weighted in their portfolios.

However, of the 19 investment firms that cover ST, 12 rate it a buy, five a hold and two a sell. The 12-month consensus price target is 2.93 SGD, which, if attained, would yield a 22% capital gain. So while this stock has inhibited the performance of the iShares Singapore fund over the past year, it still has a chance to contribute in a meaningful way in the future. The company's market capitalization is 38.11 billion SGD ($24 billion).

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation provides banking, finance, investment, corporate and brokerage services, in addition to asset management, venture capital and nominee and trustee services.

The stock trades at 6.9 SGD and has experienced a steady increase since June 2004, when it traded at 5 SGD. Its current price is very close to its consensus estimate of 7 SGD. Accordingly, 13 of the firms covering the stock rate it a hold, four a buy and three a sell.

The stock's one-year total return was 14.33%. It does not look as if this company is expected to add too much to overall fund performance. The stock trades at a P/E of 12.12, and the company's market capitalization is 21.57 billion SGD ($13.59 billion).

In summary, the fund's prospects depend in large part on these four stocks, with two -- DBS and UOB -- looking to lead.

The table below, which illustrates the growth of EWS and the MSCI Singapore Free Index, gives you an idea of the fund's performance over the long and short terms.

Impressive Growth (as of Oct. 3, 2006)
Time Period Performance
EWS SIMSCI
1 Week 2.6% 3.35%
1 Month 3.6 4.08
3 Month 7.11 8.43
YTD 20.13 20.6
1 Year 24.89 26.43
3 year 20.34 21.66
5 Year 19.61 19.79
Historical
2005 14.26 14.37
2004 24.13 22.27
2003 43.35 37.6
2002 -14.25 -11.05
2001 -20.9 -23.42
2000 -26.39 -27.46
1999 52.65 99.54
1998 -5.1 N/A
1997 -44.49 N/A
Source: Bloomberg

The table below breaks down Singapore's $194 billion gross domestic product into sectors:

A Tale of a Nation
2005 Annual 2006 Q2
$ Millions $ Millions
GDP 194,359 49,765
Goods-Producing Industries 62,207 16,066
Manufacturing 52,127 13,591
Construction 7,044 1,692
Utilities 2,844 732
Other Goods Industries 191 49
Service-Producing Industries 121,901 31,363
Wholesale Retail Trade 28,838 7,740
Hotels & Restaurants 3,637 997
Transportation & Communication 23,142 5,696
Financial Services 20,906 5,301
Business Services 24,584 6,693
Other Service Industries 20,791 4,934
Ownership of Dwellings 6,890 1,774
Source: The Singapore Department of Statistics

Service-producing industries account for approximately two thirds of Singapore's GDP, and this is exactly where iShares Singapore is focused. This, combined with the nation's excellent fundamental economic indicators, makes this fund an ideal candidate for inclusion in a diversified portfolio.

  • Loading Comments...
  •  
1 2 3
Next >

SHARE:

  • email
  • print
  • comment
  • digg
  • delicious
  • linkedin
Sam Patel, CFA, is the manager of mutual fund Research for the TheStreet.com Ratings.

In keeping with TSC's Investment Policy, employees of TheStreet.com Ratings with access to pre-publication ratings data must pre-clear any potential trade through the legal department, and are prohibited from trading any security that is the subject of an unpublished rating revision until the second business day after the rating is published.

While Patel cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.





Connect with TheStreet

Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
10,270.47 1,093.48 2,167.88 34.29
Oil *
75.55
UP
73.00
UP
6.24
UP
18.86
DOWN
0.17
10 Yr
3.43%
SPDR Gold
109.74
+0.72%
+0.57%
+0.88%
-0.49%
Data delayed 20 minutes

Brokerage Partners

TheStreet Premium Services

All Services