Active Investor Update

Five Best Stocks for '07

 

Oh, and did I mention that the shares are cheap? Standard & Poor's calculates that the company trades at just a forward PEG ratio (projected price/earnings divided by projected growth rate) of just 1.3 vs. a PEG of 1.7 for its peers in the consumer-products sector. The shares also pay a 2% dividend.

Johnson & Johnson looks like it has worked its way through the problems that drove shares down as low as $56 a share in February 2006. In the drug unit, which accounts for about 45% of sales, the company's pipeline of new products should start contributing to revenue in 2007, diminishing the effect of older products coming off patent.

In the medical-device business, which accounts for 38% of sales, the company expects to be able to generate 5% to 6% revenue growth, a come-down from the heady 10% growth in the early part of the decade, but the segment's contribution to earnings growth will be healthier than the top-line number indicates, thanks to operating markets that climbed to 28.4% in 2005 from 24.2% in 2004.

The acquisition of Pfizer's(PFE) consumer health care business (which will add brands such as Listerine, Lubriderm, Benadryl, Sudafed, Nicorette and Visine) will add about $4 billion in revenue to Johnson & Johnson's consumer segment (now 18% of sales). For the long haul, I like the company's continued commitment to research and development, which accounted for 13% of revenue in 2005, and its record of successful product innovation.

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At the time of publication, Jubak owned shares of American International Group, Amgen and PepsiCo. He does not own short positions in any stock mentioned in this column.

Jim Jubak is senior markets editor for MSN Money. He is a former senior financial editor at Worth magazine and editor of Venture magazine. Jubak was a Bagehot Business Journalism Fellow at Columbia University and has written two books: "The Worth Guide to Electronic Investing" and "In the Image of the Brain: Breaking the Barrier Between the Human Mind and Intelligent Machines." As an investor, he says he believes the conventional wisdom is always wrong -- but that he will nonetheless go with the herd if he believes there's a profit to be made. He lives in New York. While Jubak cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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