Recession-Proof Your Portfolio

Stock quotes in this article: DNA , AMGN , ABI , MLNM , FXF , FXA , DJP , MIC , EBI , BOE , IGD  

The reason to choose this fund is that, unlike the other new commodity products, DJP has a heavier weight to agricultural commodities like corn, wheat and live cattle. Foodstuffs are more resistant to cycles than things like copper and oil. Economic slowdowns could create a drag on demand for industrial commodities, and although DJP does have 29% exposure to the energy complex, it also has 36% in the softer commodities.

Biotech Relief

Here's one last idea you may not expect because the beta is high and there is no yield: Genentech(DNA Quote), or even Amgen(AMGN Quote).

Good news from a biotech company, regardless of what is going on in the economy or the world, will lift the stock. I mention DNA and AMGN because both names' betas, at 0.470 and 0.502, respectively, have a low correlation to the market. A couple of other examples are Applied Biosystems(ABI Quote) and Millennium Pharmaceuticals(MLNM Quote).

Unfortunately, the biotech ETFs are highly correlated to the market; the above names are exceptions, but in a volatile world, there is a lot of risk with an individual stock. There are no shortcuts in picking a stock from this part of the market, but good news will lift these names a lot, even in an ugly market.

What I hope you take from this are the themes, as opposed to the specifics. No doubt there are other slices of the market that will also be relatively resistant to recession. These should be explored.

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At the time of publication, Nusbaum was long Macquarie Infrastructure Trust, CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust and ING Global Equity Dividend for client and personal holdings, although positions may change at any time.

Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, Ariz., and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Nusbaum appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.





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