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Sears Profits by Paring Advertising Expense

08/17/06 - 01:46 PM EDT

Jeff Bagley

Editor's note: This column by Jeff Bagley is a special bonus for TheStreet.com and RealMoney readers. It first appeared on Street Insight on Aug. 17 at 10:18 a.m. EDT. To sign up for Street Insight, where you can read Bagley's commentary in real time, please click here.

The conventional wisdom is that the expense management at Sears Holdings SHLD has been nothing short of fantastic.

But what if a large portion of the earnings gains actually stemmed from slashing advertising expense? That wouldn't really be a good thing, would it, if same-store sales continue to plummet?

The reduction in advertising expense isn't mentioned, as far as I can see, in this morning's press release. But a look at last quarter's 10-Q indicates that reduced advertising expense accounted for a whopping 29 cents a share, or about a third of the company's year-over-year pro-forma earnings gains.

I'm not entirely down on Sears, because I believe there was a great deal of fat to begin with, and management has been able to stem the sales declines pretty well at Kmart. As a financial engineering story -- which is what this is -- it's been a pretty good experience for shareholders.

From a retailing perspective, however, it looks as if current profits are being boosted at the expense of brand equity. I never liked Sears as a stand-alone: It's been a terribly run chain for years and the stores -- mostly empty save for the hardlines -- continue to lose customers. Same-store sales at Sears Domestic fell 6.3% in the most recent quarter, following a 8.4% decline in the first quarter of the year. This is no surprise, however -- these sales have been in a long, almost secularlike decline.

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At the time of publication, Bagley had no positions in stock mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Jeffrey Bagley, CFA, is a portfolio manager for McCabe Capital Managers, Ltd. Bagley received a master's of business administration in finance from Fordham University and a bachelor's of science in business economics from the State University of New York at Oneonta. Disclosed holdings may change at any time without notice. Under no circumstances does the information in this commentary represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Bagley appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.


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