The Reason Is Not the Season

 

Seasonally favorable or not, I do think the setup into year-end continues to favor the bulls. The consumer appears to be strengthening (nobody on the Street expects that), and enterprise as well as carrier spending is steady and strong. The fundies are in good shape, as I have continually outlined . Meanwhile, the action in the stocks speaks for itself, as Applied Materials(AMAT Quote) joins Texas Instruments(TXN Quote), Broadcom(BRCM Quote) and so many others that fell after their earnings report, only to rally back. With so many strong reports and subsequent 52-week highs, it's been a rather remarkable earnings season for the bulls when you add it all up.

So even if the next few weeks provide another anecdote upon which arbitrary indicators like "seasonality" can be built, I'd attribute this year's seasonal YER to this market and economy, especially because the rest of the year has seen the antiseasonality trade prosper.

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At the time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner was long Broadcom, although positions can change at any time and without notice.

Cody Willard is a partner in a buy-side firm and a contributor to TheStreet.com's RealMoney. He also produces a premium product for TheStreet.com called The Telecom Connection and is the founder of Teleconomics.com. The firm in which Willard is a partner may, from time to time, have long or short positions in, or buy or sell the securities, or derivatives thereof, of companies mentioned in his columns.None of the information in this column constitutes, or is intended to constitute, a recommendation by Willard of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by Willard that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. Willard appreciates your feedback -- click here to send him an email.

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