'RealMoney' Radio Recap: Coming Clean
It isn't common to hear analysts or gurus "'fess up" when they get it wrong, but that's exactly what they should do, said James Cramer Thursday on his "RealMoney" radio show.
Cramer said he "screwed up" on Fording Canadian Coal (FDG). "I made a mistake," he said. Fording lowered guidance not once but twice after Cramer recommended it, and he has since sold the position from his ActionAlertsPLUS charitable trust.
Cramer wishes he would hear the same from two Merrill Lynch analysts, one who downgraded Qualcomm (QCOM) ahead of its "most perfect quarter" Wednesday, and one who downgraded Broadcom (BRCM), which Cramer believes is in bull-market mode.
Instead of hearing mea culpas, though, Cramer said we're more likely to see the analysts hunker down and reiterate their downgraded ratings, doing all they can to find the "flies and hair" when a simple 'I got it wrong' and a promise to do better would suffice, he said.
In response to a question about how much analysts really know, Cramer said "most don't know much." They don't have the time to do quality work, he said, and they are conflicted. "There are a handful of analysts who are in the business of trying to help you make money," he said, but "no more than that." Cramer likes to use analysts' downgrades to buy stocks cheaper than he otherwise would be able to. Because of Regulation FD, companies are required to make material information available to all investors at the same time. Consequently, the analysts "can't know anything," he said. "The rules have changed. I never feel these guys know anything." If you've done your homework, most of the time your work will trump theirs, he said.Select the service that is right for you!
COMPARE ALL SERVICESAction Alerts PLUS
TRY IT FREEJim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
Product Features:
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
TRY IT FREENew! $49.95/yr
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
Product Features:
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Stocks Under $10
TRY IT FREEDavid Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.
Product Features:
- Model portfolio
- Stocks trading below $10
- Intraday trade alerts
- Weekly roundups
Real Money
TRY IT FREE24/7 market commentary from Jim Cramer and 20+ veteran Wall Street gurus. Get access to the latest trading ideas on stocks, options, and ETFs as well as a real-time forum to see the pros exchanging their investment ideas.
Product Features:
- Jim Cramer + 20 Wall Street pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Real-time trading forum
- Actionable trade ideas
Real Money Pro
TRY IT FREEAll of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
Product Features:
- Real Money + Doug Kass + 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
TRY IT FREEOur options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
Product Features:
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV