This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration. Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
With the appointment of Ben Bernanke to replace
Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan, the outlook for the economy appears to be one of higher inflation and rising commodity prices, Aaron Task told
"RealMoney" radio show
Task, co-executive editor of TheStreet.com and stand-in host for Jim Cramer, said Bernanke seemed to downplay concerns about inflation in comments last week in a
Times of London article, saying inflation is mostly confined to energy and raw materials. Bernanke has also been a supporter of the Bush tax cuts and hasn't appeared overly concerned about the deficit.
In March, Bernanke blamed the U.S. current account deficit on "a global savings glut," said Task, meaning that Bernanke's solution for the U.S. deficit might not be higher interest rates and higher savings rates in the U.S., but rather more spending and less savings by nations such as China and Japan.
What does this mean for investors? Task said that in the short term it should be positive for economic growth and for stock prices, especially financials and tech stocks.
In the longer term, higher inflation could result in weakness in the dollar. Indeed, gold has risen and treasuries have weakened recently.
Ultimately, in an environment of faster-rising inflation, cash is trash and commodities may be the best play, said Task. Task would look to invest in companies that produce those commodities for which China is a heavy importer and sell the stocks of companies that produce commodities for which China is a heavy exporter.
In areas where China is a heavy importer, Task recommended coal stocks such as
Peabody (BTU - Get Report) and
Massee Energy(MEE); copper and gold producers
Phelps Dodge(PD) and
Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold(FCX); and iron ore produces
BH Billiton(BHP) and
In other areas, he recommended
Norsk Hydro(NHY) as a way to play China's need for both fertilizer and energy;
Tiffany(TIF - Get Report) for diamonds;
Cisco(CSCO - Get Report),
Juniper(JNPR - Get Report) and
Alcatel(ALA) as beneficiaries of China's demand for telecom switching and related equipment; and
Canon(CAJ) as a way to benefit from the country's demand for copiers.
Task would avoid steel, aluminum, cotton, synthetic fibers, air conditioners, paper, paper board, sugar, and elevator equipment, areas in which China's demand has fallen in the past year.
Commodities funds Task likes include the
(PCRIX) fund and the