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Can't Use Rearview Mirror on ETFs

I can't be sure that will actually happen, but it does speak to the trend. A better piece of information for gaining perspective is that per capita use of oil in the U.S. is about 25 barrels per year. In China and India, per capita use is less than one barrel per year. The increased demand that would be generated by per capita use in China and India increasing to just 1.5 barrels would, in my opinion, push the price of oil higher and provide substantial benefit to Canada.

My analysis may turn out to be right or wrong, but I believe my forward view is more useful than what is offered in too many ETF reports now.


Please note that due to factors including low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float, we consider iShares Canada, iShares Sweden and iShares Belgium to be small-cap stocks. You should be aware that such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information, and that postings such as this one can have an effect on their stock prices.


P.S. from TheStreet.com Editor-in-Chief, Dave Morrow:
It's always been my opinion that it pays to have more -- not fewer -- expert market views and analyses when you're making investing or trading decisions. That's why I recommend you take advantage of our free trial offer to TheStreet.com RealMoney premium Web site, where you'll get in-depth commentary and money-making strategies from over 50 Wall Street pros, including Jim Cramer. Take my advice -- try it now.

Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, Ariz., and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog. At the time of publication, Nusbaum had no positions in any of the securities mentioned in this column, although positions may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Nusbaum appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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