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Crescendo Win Resounds for Computer Horizons

What's Next?

The next critical event comes on Sept. 22, when shareholders vote on whether to keep the company's board intact or to remove the board and replace it with a slate proposed by Crescendo.

If the Crescendo slate wins, expect the company (assuming Crescendo then takes control of the company) to hire an investment bank and either look to get bought at a much higher price or take on debt and repurchase shares. Also, Crescendo has noted that the company frequently missed guidance on revenue. I expect that there might be a one-time readjustment of revenue, and then I would look for the company to start surpassing guidance.

Meanwhile, as TSC reporter Emma Trincal, has pointed out, Rosenfeld is now involved in an activist battle surrounding IT services firm GEAC Computer (GEAC).

This is a slightly harder story. As opposed to Computer Horizons, which consistently missed guidance and was pursuing a strategy that arguably ran blatantly against strategic guidance, GEAC shares have had a nice, steady climb over the past year, income has grown each year: to $74 million in 2004 from $37 million in 2002.

However, with a market cap of $860 million, net cash (with only $5 million debt) of $184 million, and cash flow from operations of $79 million in the past 12 months, a strong case can be made that with nice growth and a great balance sheet, this represents a significantly undervalued situation. The key is what to do with the cash.

The company is going to be tempted to make acquisitions, and as Emma pointed out, Rosenfeld opposed the company's recent acquisition of Extensity. I'd expect Rosenfeld to call for an increase in share buybacks. Flush from his success with Computer Horizons, where his shares just posted a significant gain from his purchase price 20% lower, my guess is that Rosenfeld is going to be itching for an increase in the battle over GEAC.

Please note that due to factors including low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float, we consider Computer Horizons and Analysts International to be small-cap stocks. You should be aware that such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information, and that postings such as this one can have an effect on their stock prices.


P.S. from TheStreet.com Editor-in-Chief, Dave Morrow:
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James Altucher is a managing partner at Formula Capital, an alternative asset management firm that runs several quantitative-based hedge funds as well as a fund of hedge funds. He is also the author of Trade Like a Hedge Fund and Trade Like Warren Buffett. At the time of publication, neither Altucher nor his fund had a position in any of the securities mentioned in this column, although positions may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Altucher appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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