Marc Chandler
This column was originally published on RealMoney on Aug. 18 at 10:48 a.m. EDT. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers. Asia appears to have captured the imagination and purses of many investors, but quietly, most Latin American currency and equity markets have been red-hot and indeed have generally outperformed Asia. The Brazilian real has appreciated nearly 14% against the U.S. dollar this year, making it the best-performing currency. The main Brazilian stock market, the Bovespa, has gained a little more than 3% in local currency terms, and many of its other indices are up around 10%. The Mexican peso and Bolsa have also been strong performers. The peso has appreciated almost 5% against the U.S. dollar, making it the second-best performing currency among the larger countries this year, and on a year-to-date basis, the Bolsa is up nearly 13%. But the gains in the real and Mexican peso are really emblematic of the region as a whole. While the U.S. dollar has defied expectations by rising against the major currencies, including the Japanese yen, Singapore dollar and Taiwanese dollar, it has fallen against many LatAm currencies.
- The Chilean peso has gained about 3.5%;
- The Argentine peso is up about 3%;
- The Colombian peso has appreciated about 2%;
- The Peruvian New Sol is up by around 1%; and
- Uruguay's peso, which often appears to shadow the Brazilian real, has gained more than 8% against the U.S. dollar.
Venezuela is the main exception to the positive regional pattern. The currency, the Bolivar has depreciated by more than 10% against the dollar this year, and the stock market has plummeted more than 37%. The domestic politics of President Chavez, which have seemingly been designed to alienate the investor class, are largely the issue here, despite Venezuela being a significant oil producer and a member of OPEC.
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