James Altucher

Icahn, Time Warner: Not Just Fishing Expedition

 

Meanwhile, if AOL can demonstrate continued bottom line improvements (it was the fastest-growing division on the bottom line last quarter) then Time Warner might see more of a 12 to 15 times multiple on EBITDA than the nine times it currently sports.

Additionally, Icahn will press for, and win, an announcement of an increased buyback. Time Warner has announced it will be buying back up to $5 billion of its shares. The company will increase that at some point to $10 billion or more. The cash flow supports it, if it's done over a several-year time period, and it will demonstrate the company is refocusing on shareholders instead of just debtholders.

In any of these scenarios, Icahn wins, and he's already done quite well from his initial purchase, and Time Warner shareholders win. So life is good.

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James Altucher is a managing partner at Formula Capital, an alternative asset management firm that runs several quantitative-based hedge funds as well as a fund of hedge funds. He is also the author of Trade Like a Hedge Fund and Trade Like Warren Buffett. At the time of publication, neither Altucher nor his fund had a position in any of the securities mentioned in this column, although positions may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Altucher appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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