Christopher Edmonds - TSC

Energy Names Have Stored Power

 

In addition, Nabors has increasing exposure to international markets, with an opportunity to move three dozen to four dozen rigs overseas in the coming year. That is especially true in Saudi Arabia, where Nabors continues to receive requests for rigs as SaudiAramco looks to accelerate drilling to offset increasing production declines. The Saudis are running nearly 100 rigs, almost double from a year ago, and continue to request more. Moreover, unlike rig contracts in the U.S., which are typically well-to-well, Saudi contracts typically run for a minimum three-year term and command day rates 30% to 50% above current domestic rates.

Offshore drillers also will benefit from increased activity. Jack-up rigs, which operate in shallower water such as the Gulf of Mexico shelf and parts of the North Sea, have seen day rates increase dramatically as nearly all rigs are working. That benefits companies like Rowan (RDC) and Ensco (ESV). One company with significant leverage as demand continues to increase is Todco (THE), which still has a pool of jack-ups that can take on new work. In addition, diversified rig companies like GlobalSantaFe (GSF) that have a fleet of rigs that work in various water depths benefit from both an increase in shallow and deepwater prospects.

Technology Focus

As the quest to find new oil and natural gas moves to deeper horizons, the application of new drilling technology is in focus. Clearly, companies like Halliburton (HAL), and Schlumberger (SLB) lead the pack here, although some smaller players are worth mention.

In deepwater exploration and production, the need for production and connection equipment on the sea floor, known as subsea technology, is becoming much more important. CooperCameron (CAM) and FMC Technologies (FTI) are the leaders here and continue to battle over lucrative contracts from the Gulf of Mexico to West Africa. FMC Technology's focus on packaging both hardware and technical expertise make this niche player an interesting play.

Two other names to watch on the technology front include Weatherford (WFT) for its significant focus on new drilling and production technologies, and Hydril (HYDL), with its focus on premium connections and pressure-control equipment. Both benefit from deeper, more challenging drilling applications.

While moderation in energy prices may cause some pause in the energy-stock rally, the need to drill to replace and expand production should keep the energy equity cycle intact. As a result, the second half of 2005 should provide plenty of powerful opportunities for energy investors.

TSC's Second-Half Preview
Trends to watch over the next six months

Why the Bears Are Smiling

Picking Tech's Winners

Expect the Greenback to Stay Strong

Energy Names Have Stored Power

For Handsets, It's Motorola's Year

Satellite Radio Keeps Growing

Hotel Industry Stays the Course

Banks Shoulder a Heavy Load

No Love for Big Pharma

Ritholtz: Watch the Macro Movers

Hospitals Recover

Second Half Biotech: Healing the Wounded

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

Christopher S. Edmonds is vice president and director of research at Pritchard Capital Partners, a New Orleans energy investment firm. He is based in Atlanta. At time of publication, neither Edmonds nor his firm held positions in any securities mentioned in this column, although holdings can change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Edmonds cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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