Now that the Federal Reserve has made its decision, the market's attention moves back to earnings in the holiday-shortened coming week.
"The focus has shifted from the Fed and rate hikes to corporate guidance as preannouncement period filters into earnings season," says Randy Diamond, sales trader at Miller Tabak. "The key to next week's action will be the response to poor, or even modestly positive, numbers. The general feeling is that portfolios are not positioned well for an earnings shortfall."
Ed Peters, chief investment officer with PanAgora Asset Management, is less worried about problems on the earnings front heading into reporting season, however. Peters says he expects "improved earnings and a generally positive tone" next week, provided that oil doesn't climb above $60 again.
Though next week kicks off earnings season, the schedule will be very light.Only a single U.S. company will report quarterly earnings Tuesday, the day after the Fourth of July holiday. Massachusetts-based semiconductor chip tester ADE (ADEX) is slated to report after the bell that day. Analysts expect ADE to earn 39 cents a share, up from 23 cents last year, on $30 million in revenue. Things pick up a little on Wednesday with a handful of companies taking the earnings spotlight including Cutter & Buck (CBUK), Acuity Brands (AYI - Get Report), Ruby Tuesday (RI) and Capstone Turbine (CPST). The so-called official start to earnings takes place on Thursday with Alcoa (AA - Get Report). Consensus estimates call for the aluminum giant to post fiscal second-quarter earnings of 46 cents a share, on par with last year, with sales of $6.6 billion. Other companies reporting Thursday include Accenture (ACN - Get Report), GenCorp (GY), Pepsi Bottling Group (PBG) and International Speedway (ISCA). Only Minneapolis-based hair salon operator Regis (RGS) is on tap to report earnings Friday. The company may or may not beat analyst estimates of 64 cents for the quarter, but at least you know they'll look good when speaking to analysts.