Nick Godt

What a Week: Blue Crush

 

It did little to relieve investors, who got to witness the impact on bottom-lines of rising energy costs during the first three months of the year. Ford(F) and Harley-Davidson(HDI) joined the growing bandwagon of companies reporting and lowering forecasts due to high oil prices.

Underneath it all was a slew of weaker-than-expected economic indications that bore witness to oil's bite. The trade deficit widened to a record monthly high of $61 billion in February, from an upwardly revised $58.5 billion in January, and above forecasts for a rise to $59 billion.

Retail sales, meanwhile, rose just 0.3% in March, below forecasts for sales to rise 0.8%. Excluding autos, sales only increased 0.1%, compared with expectations for a 0.5% gain.

Based on those two indicators, most economists revised their growth forecasts downward. Merrill Lynch, for one, trimmed its first-quarter growth forecasts to 3.5% from 4.3%. As for the second quarter, Merrill now expects growth of 3.2% instead of 3.5%.

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In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, Godt doesn't own or short individual stocks. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. He invites you to send your feedback.

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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,419.86 1,313.32 2,837.36 16.25
Oil *
103.00
DOWN
160.83
DOWN
19.10
DOWN
33.63
DOWN
1.06
10 Yr
1.62%
SPDR Gold
151.91
-1.28%
-1.43%
-1.17%
-6.12%
Data delayed 20 minutes

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