Jubak Journal
3. Global economic growth creates a new demand for technology products in both the developed and developing worlds as global manufacturing lowers technology prices.
Canon(CAJ). The Japanese company is riding strong growth in unit demand for its laser printers and digital cameras. Unlike many technology companies, Canon looks like it will be able to keep its profit margins steady, thanks to recent moves to cut costs by moving manufacturing from its home base in Japan to low-cost countries such as China and Vietnam. Sluggish Japanese equity markets have made Canon relatively cheap with a 12-month-trailing price-to-earnings ratio of just 14. The consensus projection calls for long-term earnings growth of 17% annually. AU Optronics(AUO). Despite rising unit sales of LCD screens, this Taiwan-based company has been socked by falling prices. But supply and price seem likely to stabilize in 2005. On Jan. 31, its shares were upgraded to buy from hold by Deutsche Bank Asia. Tata Consultancy Services. The oldest and largest software exporter in India, this company's revenue is about 50% greater than that of No. 2 Infosys Technologies(INFY). General Electric(GE), at 15% of overseas sales, is the company's biggest foreign customer. Shares listed on the Bombay stock exchange (ticker: 532540.BY) in August 2004. 4. High rates of economic growth create new demand for infrastructure and raw materials, while limits on supply, even if temporary, drive up prices for commodities. Cleveland-Cliffs(CLF). This North American producer of iron-ore pellets is going to Asia where the customers are. The company has made a friendly bid on Australian iron-ore miner Portman Ltd. The deal would add about 8 million tons of iron a year to Cleveland-Cliffs' output. The stock trades at a trailing 12-month P/E of 13.8. Siam Cement. Thailand's dominant industrial conglomerate, which trades under the symbol SCC in Thailand, has plans to become the dominant industrial conglomerate in the Southeast Asian region by continuing its drive to expand from cement into chemicals and paper. There's plenty of cash, too: Net profit climbed by about 80% in 2004.| Eleven Winners Jim Jubak's stealth blue chips |
||||
| Stock | Recommended | Price | Feb. 4 Close | Gain |
| Affiliated Computer Services (ACS:NYSE) | 10/14/2003 | $49.90 | $53.42 | 7.10% |
| Applebee's International (APPB:Nasdaq) | 10/14/2003 | 22.73 | 28.33 | 24.6 |
| Brown & Brown (BRO:NYSE) | 7/21/2004 | 42.35 | 43.98 | 3.8 |
| Chico's FAS (CHS:NYSE) | 10/14/2003 | 36.9 | 52.1 | 41.2 |
| CUNO (CUNO:Nasdaq) | 7/21/2004 | 51.53 | 57.85 | 12.3 |
| Donaldson (DCI:NYSE) | 10/14/2003 | 28.6 | 31.84 | 11.3 |
| Expeditors International (EXPD:Nasdaq) | 10/14/2003 | 37.18 | 56.31 | 51.5 |
| Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP:NYSE) | 10/14/2003 | 44.17 | 45.37 | 2.7 |
| Main Street Banks (MSBK:Nasdaq) | 10/14/2003 | 25.98 | 32.23 | 24.1 |
| Penn National Gaming (PENN:Nasdaq) | 7/21/2004 | 33.14 | 68.89 | 107.9 |
| SCP Pool (POOL:Nasdaq) | 10/14/2003 | 20.4 | 31.28 | 53.3 |
| Portfolio average gain | 30.90% | |||
| S&P 500 gain, 10/14/03-2/4/05 | 15 | |||
| S&P 500 gain, 7/21/04-2/4/05 | 10 | |||
| Nasdaq Composite gain, 10/14/03-2/4/05 | 7 | |||
| Nasdaq Composite gain, 7/21/04-2/4/05 | 11 | |||
| Source: MSN Money | ||||
Changes to Jubak's Picks
Buy Talisman Energy. The company has grown oil and gas production about 15% annually since 1993. I think there's a good chance that the company will manage to grow production by 10% or slightly better annually through 2008. At a time when it's very hard to grow production at all in the oil and gas industry, that's a good enough story to make this a buy in Jubak's Picks. I'm adding Talisman Energy to Jubak's Picks with a January 2006 target price of $39. (Full disclosure: I own shares of Talisman Energy.)TheStreet Premium Services
Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS:
Trade right alongside a Wall Street pro — enjoy access to his Charitable Trust portfolio and be sent trade alerts BEFORE he makes a move. Learn MoreOptionsProfits:
Get 50+ trade ideas a week from the industry's top options experts. Plus — exclusive commentary on market trends and essential trading tools. Learn MoreReal Money:
Our team of professional Wall Street Pros — including Jim Cramer, Doug Kass, and Nicholas Vardy — delivers intelligent analysis, timely trade ideas, and colorful commentary. Learn MoreStocks Under $10:
Break into the market with small- and mid-cap stocks... all $10 or less! David Peltier tells you exactly which low-priced stocks he's buying and selling. Learn MoreTo begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
blog comments powered by Disqus
| Dow Jones | S&P 500 | NASDAQ | 10-Year Note |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,393.45 | 1,310.33 | 2,827.34 | 15.81 |
Oil *
101.80
|
|
DOWN
26.41 |
DOWN
2.99 |
DOWN
10.02 |
DOWN
0.44 |
10 Yr
1.58%
SPDR Gold
151.62
|
|
-0.21%
|
-0.23%
|
-0.35%
|
-2.71%
|
Data delayed 20 minutes |


Connect with TheStreet