Another Good Year Due for the Dow

12/27/04 - 10:10 AM EST

Jim Cramer

American Express
Tore the cover off the ball

American Express(AXP Quote - Cramer on AXP - Stock Picks): Tore the cover off the ball in 2004. I thought it would earn $2.40. Turns out that $2.70 is more like it. Now that banks will be issuing American Express cards, I think that this company's earnings could explode and that $3.10 might be doable. It is realistic to think that people will pay $65 for those, which makes American Express a decent bet for 2005.

AIG
Spitzer's impact will be felt

American International Group(AIG Quote - Cramer on AIG - Stock Picks): Got added to the Dow in 2004 so I didn't hazard a forecast. The company looks to make $4.40 this year. Frankly, I am not a fan and think that the fallout from New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer is going to hurt the whole industry's profitability. I see subpar earnings growth, maybe no more than $4.50, and the stock will just mark time in the $60s.

Boeing
Enjoying a multiyear move

Boeing(BA Quote - Cramer on BA - Stock Picks): Enjoying a multiyear move of which 2004 was just year two. These moves tend to last more than four or five years and the market loves the predictability of the earnings cycle. I think Boeing, which I said would earn $3.25 in 2004 -- $2.50 is more like it -- will get to the $3 level. Those earnings will take the stock to $75. I know, I know, really bullish, so why don't I own it for Action Alerts PLUS? The answer is, I have been waiting for a pullback for about nine months now. Maybe I should stop waiting.

Caterpillar
A 'wish I owned it' stock

Caterpillar(CAT Quote - Cramer on CAT - Stock Picks): I've always had a great feel for Caterpillar, in part because I always thought of myself as a bit of a machinery analyst, with machinery including technology. I thought Caterpillar would hit $100 after it earned $5, and I am right on target. Next year, with a weak dollar and still low interest rates, I think $6 could be doable, which would put this stock at $120. It will split, of course, making it even sexier. Another "wish I owned it" stock.

Click here to read Part 2 of this series.

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At the time of publication, Cramer was long Intel.

James J. Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column to jjcletters@thestreet.com. Listen to Cramer's RealMoney Radio show on your computer; just click here. Click here to buy Cramer's latest book, "You Got Screwed!" Click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict."

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