AOL Time Warner (AOL) shareholders have to wonder how many more cockroaches will come crawling out of America Online.
The multimedia conglomerate disclosed late Friday night that the
Securities and Exchange Commission
is questioning nearly $400 million in revenue recognized by the America Online service over 2001 and 2002.
At issue is the accounting treatment of certain 2001 deals with German media giant
The disputed amount adds to the $190 million that AOL Time Warner, following a review of the online unit's advertising sales, said it was cutting from revenue AOL had recognized from 2000 to 2002. When AOL Time Warner announced that $190 million reduction last October -- two months after saying it was re-examining $49 million worth of transactions -- AOL Time Warner said it didn't anticipate any further restatements.
But now, investors must brace for the prospect of yet another restatement, one that would clip 9.5% from the $4.2 billion in advertising and commerce revenue AOL reported over 2001 and 2002.
With the latest disclosure, investor faith that AOL's accounting troubles are behind it -- that the company is free to focus simply on old-fashioned underperformance -- seems misplaced. The cockroach theory of accounting problems -- that a single visible problem implies more in hidden corners -- is corroborated once again.
So shareholders can wonder whether any additional bad news will come out of the SEC's and the Justice Department's ongoing investigations of AOL's accounting and disclosure practices. And they can also try to figure out how much farther AOL Time Warner's sagging stock can sink.
Shares in AOL Time Warner fell 19 cents Friday to close at $11.35. The stock has fallen from a 52-week high of $24.99, but it's still above last year's lows of $8.70.
Goodbye to All That
The day after AOL Time Warner announced the $190 million restatement last October, its stock rose 7.5%, driven by investors' relief that the problem wasn't as bad as they feared.