Five Funds: Small Growth Funds With Supersized Returns
Small things have a way of overmastering the great. -- Sonya Levien
Here are three reasons why investors should be looking into small-cap growth funds right now. Reason #1: The Short Term. In 2002, the small-cap growth sector performed horribly. The average small growth fund lost 28.4%. If you believe stocks are slowly emerging from the brutal bear market, then small-cap growth may be in pole position to recover. In the 15 months after the 1973-74 bear market, the small-cap growth arena returned 45.2% -- outperforming small-cap value and large-cap stocks by seven percentage points, according to Ibbotson Associates. Small-cap growth also outpaced the rest of the market during the five months after the 1982 bottom and the 12 months after the 1990 bottom. Reason #2: The Long Term. Small-cap stocks outperform. Period. From 1926 to 2002, large-cap stocks had a compound annual return of 10.2%; small-caps returned 12.1%, according to Ibbotson. And because they spent most of the 1990s lagging large-caps -- small-caps have never underperformed as much as they did at decade's end -- the category should get some extra juice from reversion to historical norms. "We expect small- and mid-cap stocks will continue to rebound and will revert to their long-term premiums against large-cap stocks," said James O'Shaughnessy of Bear Stearns Asset Management. "Our forecast for the real rate of return to small- and mid-cap stocks through 2022 is 7% to 11% a year." He expects the S&P 500 to return between 3% and 5% during that period.- Loading Comments...
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