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The rock-and-a-hard place story is that Cisco isn't growing fast enough to suit some growth managers' tastes, and it isn't cheap enough to interest most value managers. In fact, both growth and value managers were selling the stock this year through Sept. 30, just prior to its recent bounce. "Cisco's fundamentals weakened so fast that managers across the board are wary of it," says Russ Kinnel, director of fund analysis at Chicago-based Morningstar. In the fund world, most managers are in either the growth or the value camp. Both buy a stock because they think its price will rise, but the former are typically more concerned with a company's earnings growth than its price tag, and vice versa. Yet each discipline's practitioners have backed away from Cisco this year. On Jan. 1, more than 80% of large-cap growth funds owned Cisco, even though corporate demand for tech products and the broader economy was sagging. Some 22% of large-cap value funds owned the stock, too. But at the end of the third quarter, those figures fell to 69% and 19%, respectively, implying that growth believers and bargain-hunters alike didn't see a reason to pull the trigger.
| Backing Down Between last year's third quarter and this year's, growth and value funds stepped away from the Cisco buffet |
||
| Sept. 30, 2000 | Sept. 30, 2001 | |
| Large-Cap Growth Funds Owning Cisco | 84% | 69% |
| Large-Cap Value Funds Owning Cisco | 24 | 19 |
| Cisco Stock Price | $55.25 | $12.18 |
| Source: Morningstar. | ||
| A Rough Year Even with its recent run-up, Cisco is down 70% over the past year |
| Source: Morningstar |
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