Gold Prices Pop on Optimism From ECB's Draghi (Update1)
01/10/13 - 04:15 PM EST
(Updated from 11:08 a.m. ET with settlement price and analyst comment.)
NEW YORK (TheStreet
) -- Gold prices
popped Thursday after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's announcement that economic conditions would improve in the eurozone later in 2013. Gold fell 0.4% on Wednesday
Gold for February delivery added $22.50 to settle at $1,678 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price
traded as high as $1,678.80 and as low as $1,653.80 an ounce, while the spot price was jumping $18.40, according to Kitco's gold index.
Draghi's comments put pressure on the U.S. dollar as the euro spiked by more than 1% on Wednesday. The yellow metal often benefits from a dip in the greenback as dollar-denominated gold becomes cheaper to purchase.
"Later in 2013, economic activity should gradually recover. In particular, our accommodative monetary policy stance, together with significantly improved financial market confidence and reduced fragmentation, should work its way through to the economy, and global demand should strengthen," Draghi said at a press conference.
Though gold reacted to the dollar's plunge on the euro currency's boost on the comments, one analyst argued the news from Draghi may still give investors pause moving forward.
"I don't know that I would call him optimistic," said Michelle Gibley, director of international research at Charles Schwab. "I would say that if you compare 2013 to 2012, Europe may not be as much of a drag on global growth, but they're still going to be sluggish."
Gibley pointed to austerity measures and under-capitalized banks as continuing major drags on the eurozone economy.
for March delivery increased 67 cents to close at $30.92 an ounce, while the U.S. dollar index
was plummeting 1.08% to $79.73.
"Gold was used as an investment that's supposed to not really correlate with the stock market -- that's why a lot of investors bought it, because they were afraid of the stock market," said Yoni Jacobs, chief investment strategist at Chart Prophet. "Over the last year or so you're seeing gold increasingly correlated with the market, so instead of becoming a riskless asset, it's actually become a risky asset."
The Labor Department reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 5 rose
by 4,000 to 371,000. Economists had expected claims to total 365,000. The rise in jobless claims also could be seen as positive for gold prices as the Federal Reserve
has pegged keeping interest rates near zero to a 6.5% unemployment rate threshold. Should the rate dip to that level, the Fed noted last month, the central bank would begin to raise interest rates. The national unemployment rate ticked up to 7.8% in December -- a signal that the Fed wouldn't end low interest rates and, possibly, the quantitative easing programs.
Gold prices continued to trade Thursday in a limited range, where it has remained since Fed members somewhat unexpectedly announced last week mixed sentiment as to the early expiration of its monetary stimulus.
Though U.S. import and export prices expected to print Friday could give investors a better gauge of the inflation environment, there aren't many events that could drive gold in the near-term from its current range.
"At this point, until you see gold making a decision, which is really the [upper-resistance] $1,800 level and the [lower-resistance] $1,500 level, it's in no-man's land," said Jacobs. "The smart investors are the ones who try to short when it reaches closer to $1,800, and try to buy when it goes toward $1,500."
Gold-mining stocks were mostly higher on Thursday. Shares of Yamana Gold (AUY)
added 5.9%, and shares of Eldorado Gold (EGO)
tacked on 4.2%.
Among volume leaders, Kinross Gold (KGC)
was up 1.8%, while Goldcorp (GG)
Gold ETF SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)
and iShares Gold Trust (IAU)
rose 0.9% .
-- Written by Joe Deaux in New York.
>Contact by Email