Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Jan. 13
Scott Rutt
01/13/09 - 08:27 PM EST
Click here for an archive of Jim Cramer's Mad Money recaps.
"These are times that try a bull's soul," Jim Cramer told the
viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Tuesday.
He said he's baffled that
all of last week's most loved stocks have become the most hated
this week. "Why are people so astonished by the bad numbers," he asked?
Cramer said the only surprise in the markets is that people are
actually surprised. At the end of 2008, he said, there was simply too
much excitement in the markets, and the analysts were too positive.
This week's moves however, simply brings things back to reality and
back to a level where the markets make sense.
Cramer said
KLA Tencor's
(KLAC)
earnings shortfall should have been expected. The departure of
Seagate's
(STX) top
executives should have been expected, and
Transocean's
(RIG)
order cancellations shouldn't have come as any surprise, he said.
Cramer said people should not have been surprised when
Alcoa TICKER TYPE="EQUITY" SYMBOL="AA" PRIMARY="NO"/> missed its numbers because it's the worst run company out there.
Cramer told investors they need to "wake up" and start expecting
the worst.
This market is creating opportunities, however. He said
Caterpillar (CAT),
he said, is a steal under $40.
He said also to consider
NYSE Euronext
(NYX), which
now yields 4.9%, while new Cramer favorite
Home Depot (HD)
yields 4%.
"These are not damaged companies," said Cramer, "just damaged
stocks."
Cramer: Ignore Oil and Tech |
| |
An Oil Gusher
Cramer continued "Chart Week" on Mad Money, with a look at the
technicals versus the fundamentals.
Tonight's stock was
ConocoPhillips
(COP), a stock which he owns for his charitable trust,
Action Alerts PLUS.
Cramer said Conoco had a huge selloff in October, retreating
from $65 a share to $45. This "climax" selloff is what the
chartists look for, when everyone who wants out of a stock, gets
out. Since then, the stock has been trading sideways, building a
bottom and generating confidence that the stock won't go any lower.
Thus Conoco, according to the technical analysts, is now a buy.
But Cramer said he's a believer in the fundamentals. Conoco is
the third largest integrated oil company in the U.S., he said, and is
now trading at the steepest discount ever to its peers, at 30%. The
company also has a good history of buybacks and raising its dividend,
he said.
Conoco's oil production should increase in 2009, said Cramer, and
with oil prices low, the company's refining business should also enjoy
better margins. The company trades at only 7.1 times its earnings,
while historically it should fetch a multiple of 9.2 times.
Cramer's conclusion: the charts say "buy", but the fundamentals
say "buy after Friday," when the company offers up its mid-quarter
update.
Easy Choice
When it comes to cellphone makers, who's the cheapest? Cramer
took a close look at
Motorola (MOT),
Nokia (NOK) and
Research In Motion to find out.
Cramer said all three stocks are down hard from their highs, with
Motorola down 70%, Nokia down 60% and RIMM down 50%. And while
Motorola may be the cheapest stock to buy at $4 a share, it's the
price earnings ratio that investors need to look for.
Research In Motion trades at just 12 times earnings, with a growth
rate of 25%, while Nokia trades at 15 times earnings for only a 20%
growth rate. Motorola on the other hand, trades at a staggering 72
times earnings, for a growth rate that may not even pan out in 2009.
Cramer said the choice is easy: Buy Research In Motion, hold
Nokia, and sell Motorola.
He said its clear that if President-elect Barack
Obama won't give up his Blackberry, there must be something to the
company's products. The company has a broad product line that's
taking share, he said.
Nokia, however, lowered guidance and is betting on a strategy that
consumers will trade down to less expensive phones. This
strategy has failed to work, as the company has been losing
marketshare, with less than 6% unit growth expected in 2009.
Outrage of the Day
Cramer sounded off against
the so-called "ultra" short ETFs, which he says are fooling the
public daily.
Citing a recent article at
TheStreet.com, Cramer said it's been
revealed that these ETFs, which supposedly allow investors to short
stocks with two and three times the firepower, simply don't work.
"They generate losses even on the worst stocks in the market," he said.
Cramer said he feels shocked and betrayed by the government for
allowing these funds to exist. He said the SEC needs to protect
investors against misleading products, saying they need to simply
be banned. "These funds must be stopped," he emphasized.
Lightning Round
Cramer was bullish on
Ashland (ASH),
Bristol-Myers Squibb
(BMY),
Kroger (KR),
Dryships (DRYS)
and
Frontline (FRO).
Cramer was bearish on
Corn Products International
(CPO).
Check out the latest edition of
"Cramer's Take on
Top-Searched Stocks" on Stockpickr.
Want more Cramer? Check out Jim's rules and commandments for investing by
clicking here.
Read more of Cramer's Mad Money Lightning Round insights.
For "Mad Money" performance statistics and other links, check out Mad Money stats