Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Sellers Nowhere in Sight
Scott Rutt
12/12/08 - 07:50 PM EST
Click here for an archive of Jim Cramer's Mad Money recaps.
"We've finally run out of sellers in this market," Jim Cramer told
viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Friday.
He called the day's market
action the most bullish he's seen since the market bottomed on
Nov. 21, and told investors what they should be doing next.
"Today should have been a short seller's paradise," said Cramer.
With news of the biggest hedge fund scandal ever coming to light and
the failure of a congressional auto bailout package, Cramer said the
markets were set for a horrible open, yet powered higher throughout
the day.
"What we saw today was a lot more than just the auto bailout,"
said Cramer. This is a market where everyone who wants to sell has
finally sold, he said. And after a day like today, where the market
rallied even amongst the bad news, hedge funds will have to change
their bias.
Cramer said investors need to stick with the strategies he's been
featuring. That means ainly investing in only companies with high yields, those
trading at or near their cash values and those with recession
resistant businesses.
"The bears are starting to hum a new tune," Cramer concluded.
Red Flags
On the heels of the Bernard Madoff hedge fund scandal, Cramer told
investors that they can no longer count on the Securities and Exchange Commission to protect them.
The SEC, he said, was investigating Madoff, yet found nothing. "No
one cares about your money more than you," he reminded viewers before
outlining the warning signs they should look for in order to protect
themselves.
Cramer said that if investors cannot figure out how a money
manager is making their returns, it's time to get out. In the case of
Madoff, Cramer said even his seasoned staffed were unclear where
Madoff's profits were coming from after looking at the funds
statements and filings.
Cramer also reminded viewers that if returns are too good to be
true, they are. He said that Madoff's "profits" were way too
consistent to be real. "Nobody is that consistent for that many
quarters in a row."
Cramer told viewers to also look into how a fund is structured.
Accountants, he said, should always report to the investors, he said,
and not management. Firms should also have separate brokerages, not
inside brokerages as Madoff had. It's way too easy to hide losses
that way, he said.
Finally, Cramer said Madoff's fee structure should have also been
a red flag. Hedge funds typically have a 2% management fee and take
20% of the profits, he said, but in the case of Madoff, fees were
based on trading. Never trust a fund who gets paid to trade, he said.
Cramer's bottom line: Investors need to do their
homework and research who's managing their money.
Speculation Friday
For this segment, Cramer said there just might
be a lot of money to be made in the most beaten down of technology
stocks. He offered up three companies which he said are ready for a
serious rebound.
Cramer said semiconductor maker
Ciena (CIEN Quote) is at
the top of his speculation list.
The company recently reported
disappointing earnings and fell a staggering 20% in a single day.
Cramer said the point to note is that after such a huge loss, not a
single analyst downgraded the name. "The estimates have already been
cut," he said, with all of the bad news already priced into the stock.
Second was telco equipment maker
Tellabs (TLAB Quote).
Cramer said Tellabs is currently trading just about its cash value and
has no debt on its balance sheet. The company supplies telcos and
cable companies with equipment to increase bandwidth and Cramer said
"we need more bandwidth."
He said there is almost no downside in the
stock, but the potential for sizable upside.
Third was mobile chipmaker and former Cramer favorite
Skyworks Solutions .
He said Skyworks is a play on the
increasing popularity of smartphones, and with earnings estimates
slashed to just 16 cents a share for 2009, all of the bad news is
already baked into these shares as well.
Mad Mail
In this segment, Cramer told a viewer
that wildcat driller
Rex Energy (REXX Quote) no
longer works in this market. "When that group is hot, they're hot,
but now they're cold as ice," he said.
Lightning Round
Cramer was bullish on
Advanced Micro Devices ,
Express Scripts ,
Wachovia (WB Quote),
Thermo Electron (TMO Quote)
and
BP (BP Quote).
He was bearish on
Nvidia (NVDA Quote),
MGM Mirage (MGM Quote),
Las Vegas Sands (LVS Quote),
PetMed Express (PETS Quote),
Imperial Oil (IMO Quote)
and
Electronic Arts .
Check out the latest edition of
"Cramer's Take on Top-Searched Stocks" on Stockpickr.
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clicking here.
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