Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Dec. 1
Scott Rutt
12/01/08 - 08:02 PM EST
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Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show that Monday's market plunge is "a formal declaration of recession," but noted at the same time that the decline was not the same as all the rest.
"This time, the federal
government is starting to get things right," said Cramer, citing
several recent developments that are working to stabilize the markets.
Cramer said the mortgage markets are finally stabilizing after the federal government moved to buy the debt of
Fannie Mae (FNM Quote) and
Freddie Mac (FRE Quote)
and the
Federal Reserve started buying mortgages from struggling firms.
Cramer also cited the government's efforts to provide loan
guarantees and its "investment" in
Citigroup (C Quote) as
two factors helping to stabilize the banking system.
With the TARP program now in full swing and over $4 trillion in
loan guarantees already in place, Cramer said the government is a
positive force in the markets.
After wiping out the preferred shares
of Freddie and Fannie and liquidating Lehman Brothers, which instilled
fear in the markets, the government's investment in Citigroup is
having the opposite reaction.
"Profit taking is to be expected," said Cramer, noting that after
the monster moves last week, today's selloff should come as no
surprise.
But this time, he said, the selloff is an opportunity to
buy the recession-resistant stocks and the accidental high yielders at
great prices.
Winning Infrastructure Plays
"Not all infrastructure stocks are created equal," Cramer told
viewers. On the heels of President-elect Barack Obama's infrastructure stimulus
package, Cramer said there are some clear winners and losers.
Obama's plan calls for major investment in the country's roads and
bridges, said Cramer, and that's why stocks like
Chicago Bridge & Iron
(CBI Quote) sound like the natural choice. That is, until investors
realize that 55% of CBI's revenues come from the liquified natural gas
industry and not from roads.
Cramer said investors need to steer clear of all infrastructure
stocks with an energy focus, as these stocks need not only higher
energy prices to succeed, but also tons of credit to finance their
projects.
Stocks like
Shaw Group (SGR Quote),
which derives 56% of its revenues from fossil fuels and nuclear
energy, and even Cramer favorite
Foster Wheeler (FWLT Quote), a stock which he owns for his charitable trust
Action Alerts PLUS, should not be bought solely on the
Obama news.
Cramer said the winners on the Obama plan include asphalt and
concrete makers like
Martin Marinetta Materials and
Vulcan Materials , along with
Caterpillar (CAT Quote) and
AECOM (ACM Quote).
However, he said all of these names have had huge runs and need to come
down before they can be bought.
Cramer advised using patience, waiting for all of the good names
to pull back before buying in. "Let them go lower," he said.
No Reason to Worry
Cramer welcomed Raymond Milchovich, chairman and CEO of
Foster Wheeler (FWLT Quote), to the show to discuss why the company's stock price has
been cut in half since his last appearance on Sept. 12.
When asked about the postponement of his retirement, Milchovich
said the time was not right for him to retire now. As a result, he's
agreed to stay on board with Foster Wheeler for another three years.
Milchovich said while Foster's power business, which accounts for
30% of its sales, is softening, its oil, gas and chemical business is
still very strong. The company is pursuing eight mega projects, with
one already booked, one about to be booked and the six remaining ones
still in play. "2009 is shaping up just as we expected," he said.
Milchovich said Foster is seeing some refining projects around the
world getting delayed due to $50 a barrel oil, but noted that "we
always see delays." He said that Foster's clients look through the
short term and plan three to four years ahead.
Both Cramer and Milchovich agreed that Foster Wheeler's current
multiple is "absurd." The company has purchased $300 million worth of
its own shares and is still buying. Milchovich said his stock was a
buy at $32 a share and is an even bigger buy at its current levels.
Outrage of the Day
In this segment, Cramer sounded off against
Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben
Bernanke, both of whom told the American public all year long that
"the fundamentals are sound" when in reality the a severe recession
was clearly taking hold.
"I haven't seen this level of arrogance and
ignorance in a long time," said Cramer. He called for Bernanke's
resignation on Jan. 20, when Obama takes office.
Mad Mail
In this segment, Cramer told a viewer
that he's a buyer of
Herbalife (HLF Quote)
with its 4.79% yield and solid management team.
Lightning Round
Cramer was bullish on
Genzyme (GENZ Quote),
Goldman Sachs (GS Quote),
Anadarko Petroleum
and
United States Steel .
He was bearish on
Chesapeake Energy ,
Emergent BioSolutions
and
Oshkosh Truck .
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