'Fast Money' Recap: Housing Party
TSC Staff
09/08/08 - 07:26 PM EDT
Dylan Ratigan hosted
CNBC's "Fast Money" Monday night. He kicked off the show with a discussion around
Fannie Mae(FNM Quote) and
Freddie Mae(FRE Quote), which saw their shares plunge after the U.S government took over the companies.
Ratigan asked the traders if they are any more confident to buy stocks today than on any other day this year. Pete Najarian said yes. He advised viewers to consider
Morgan Stanley(MS Quote). He also disclosed that he added to his put position in
Lehman Brothers(LEH Quote).
Jeff Macke said he likes
Wal-Mart(WMT Quote), which broke out technically today. Guy Adami mentioned that
Church & Dwight(CHD Quote) and
Johnson & Johnson(JNJ Quote) continue to work.
Ratigan switched the conversation to the housing market. Macke said that if he were long any homebuilding stocks right now, he would be taking profits. Adami pointed out that the 30-year mortgage rate went from 6.5% to 6% today. He said he likes
Home Depot(HD Quote) for a play on the housing recovery.
Finerman said that if you want to play in the housing sector, buy something like
MDC(MDC Quote) or
Centex(CTX Quote) that isn't over-leveraged. Najarian explained that the homebuilding stocks have been moving higher because of the high short interest in the sector. Macke and Najarian both agreed that the homebuilders are trading vehicles only.
Ratigan brought up a report out of the
Financial Times that said subprime king and hedge fund manager John Paulson told investors he's looking to get more involved with the financial sector. Finerman said she likes the idea, and she said she would take a look at
Fannie Mae(FNM Quote) preferred stock,
General Electric(GE Quote) and
Citigroup(C Quote).
Adami mentioned that
U.S. Bancorp(USB Quote) is close to an all-time high. Najarian said the cream of the crop in the financial stocks includes
JPMorgan(JPM Quote), U.S. Bancorp and
Wells Fargo(WFC Quote).
Turning to Tech
Ratigan moved the talk to the technology sector. Adami pointed out that the chart of
Research In Motion(RIMM Quote) is broken. "If you're long RIMM, you should buy some puts and sell an upside call," Najarian added. Finerman says
Google(GOOG Quote) is getting close to a value play when you look at the P/E level. Najarian pointed out that Google traded twice its average volume today, which could be a sign of a bottom for the stock.
FBR analyst Paul Miller joined the traders to discuss the financial sector. Miller says the bank stock rally is a step in the right direction, but he said he is worried about what will happen during the fourth quarter. "I think the financial rally has more room to go and will extend for a couple of more weeks," he added. However, Miller said he is worried that any bank with a large amount of Level 3 assets, like
Wachovia(WB Quote), could be the subject of an audit in the fourth quarter.
Socialist Trade?
The traders discussed ways to trade the government's new move toward socializing companies. Adami explained that
Gap(GPS Quote) has figured out a way to get their gross margins up 4%, and its operating margins up 10%. He said that when we come out of the credit crisis, the retailers will do well. Finerman thinks the government intervention in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is bearish for the equity of
General Motors(GM Quote) and the airline stocks.
Opec and $100 Oil
Joe Terranova joined the crew to discuss the chances of OPEC allowing crude oil to trade down to $100 a barrel. He said that right now, OPEC is over-supplying the market. He said that if OPEC doesn't get what it wants, it may cut production at the December meeting. He said the refiners could be a trade here, but the market is so crazy, it's a tough call.
The bottom line from Terranova is that the
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG Quote) and the
United States Oil Fund(USO Quote) isn't the way to trade crude oil right now.
Technical Talk
Oppenheimer chief market strategist Carter Worth joined the traders to discuss his call to sell the bounce in a note to clients today. Worth explained that the volume wasn't near record levels, and semiconductors didn't even participate. He said he was surprised the Dow wasn't up 1000 points off the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae takeover news, and the fact it wasn't shows the market is weak. Worth said the only stocks working today were the same "loser stuff" and not names like Google and the chip stocks.
Apple Music
Piper Jaffrey tech analyst Gene Munster, joined the gang to discuss
Apple(AAPL Quote) ahead of the company's meeting set for Tuesday. Munster said it will be music-based announcement around the iPod Touch or iPod Nano. Munster said the meeting doesn't mean much because the iPod is the least significant of the company's three business segments.
He said he feels the meeting has more to do with Steve Jobs. "I am confident that Jobs will be at the meeting and looking healthy," Munster said.
Trader Radar
Shares of
Home Depot(HD Quote) were among the most actively traded stocks on the
NYSE today.
Final Trade
Macke said buy Research In Motion at $100 and stop out at $95. Adami picked
Urban Outfitters(URBN Quote). Finerman recommended
Flowserve(FLS Quote). Najarian selected
Novo Nordisk(NVO Quote).