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Mutual Fund Investing

10 Best, 10 Worst Technology Funds

Kevin Baker

09/05/08 - 05:25 PM EDT

As the Dow lost 4.40% and the S&P 500 slipped 4.85% this week, the technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 index fared worse, tumbling 7.32% in the four trading days ending Thursday. Technology funds, excluding inverse funds, also shed the same amount on average. So far this year, the group has plummeted 19.33%.

The economic picture is dim. Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that August firings rose 12% to 88,736 compared with 12 months earlier, with job losses expected to continue through the year. More than 3.4 million Americans collecting unemployment benefits are more interested in buying the basics -- food, rent and gasoline -- than the latest computer upgrade or flat-screen TV.

Semiconductor funds, the most economically sensitive of the technology funds, crashed, with the Ultra Semiconductor ProShares(USD Quote), leveraged 200% to the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductor Index, losing a fifth of its value, or 20.64%.

The second-worst performer, ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector ProFund(SMPIX Quote), plunged 17.34%, dragged down by its 150% leverage to the same index. Index members leading the way include MEMC Electronic Materials(WFR Quote), down 20.40%; Marvell Technology Group(MRVL Quote), with a loss of 19.11%; Silicon Image(SIMG Quote), minus 17.25%; and ON Semiconductor(ONNN Quote), with a decline of 16.17%. Another holding, National Semiconductor(NSM Quote) sank 11.02%, hurt by lower earnings caused by saturated and slowing demand for mobile-phone handset chips.

The Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index is tracked by the Ultra Technology ProShares(ROM Quote), at 200% leverage, and by the ProFunds Technology UltraSector ProFund(TEPIX Quote), at 150% leverage, resulting in losses of 15.79% and 12.66%, respectively. Holdings of Ciena(CIEN Quote) nosedived 26.67%, as the company warned that telecom firms are delaying new orders due to economic uncertainty. Likewise, Corning(GLW Quote) shares shattered 20.08% on a less-positive outlook for LCD TV screen glass. Dell(DELL Quote) dropped 19.24% as the company pondered a dramatic change in strategy, potentially selling off worldwide manufacturing plants to save as much as $3 billion in labor and related costs.

Worst PerformingTechnology Sector Funds for the Week Ending Thursday
Fund Ticker Rating Fund Type 1 Week Total Return
Ultra Semiconductor ProShares USD E ETF -20.64%
ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector ProFund SMPIX E- Open-End -17.34%
Ultra Technology ProShares ROM E+ ETF -15.79%
Internet Infrastructure HOLDRs Trust IIH C+ ETF -13.80%
ProFunds Technology UltraSector Profund TEPIX E Open-End -12.66%
Fidelity Advisor Electronics Fund FELAX E Open-End -11.40%
Fidelity Select Electronics Portfolio FSELX E Open-End -11.09%
iShares S&P North American Tech-Semicond Index Fund IGW E+ ETF -10.96%
Rydex Series - Electronics Fund RYSIX E Open-End -10.93%
SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF XSD E ETF -10.55%
Source: Bloomberg & TheStreet.com Ratings

Three funds landed double-digit returns by shorting technology stocks utilizing 200% leverage. The best-performing fund this week is the UltraShort Semiconductor ProShares(SSG Quote), which skyrocketed 26.37% in the four trading days ending Thursday.

Tracking the opposite of the Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index, the UltraShort Technology ProShares(REW Quote) spiked 18.55%. Similarly, the Rydex Inverse 2X S&P Select Sector Technology ETF(RTW Quote) popped 16.24%.

Best PerformingTechnology Sector Funds for the Week Ending Thursday
Fund Ticker Rating Fund Type 1 Week Total Return
UltraShort Semiconductors ProShares SSG A- ETF 26.37%
UltraShort Technology ProShares REW C- ETF 18.55%
Rydex Inverse 2X S&P Select Sector Technology ETF RTW U ETF 16.24%
UltraShort Telecommunications ProShares TLL U ETF 3.35%
SPDR S&P International Telecommunications Sector ETF IST U ETF 0.42%
Kinetics Internet Emerging Growth Fund WWWEX E Open-End -2.29%
PowerShares Dynamic Hardware & Consumer Electronics Portfolio PHW D- ETF -2.61%
Telecom HOLDRs Trust TTH C- ETF -2.62%
iShares Dow Jones US Telecommunications Sector Index Fund IYZ C- ETF -2.66%
Vanguard Telecommunication Services ETF VOX C+ ETF -3.24%
Source: Bloomberg & TheStreet.com Ratings

On top of the Bush administration dismissing thoughts of a second round of stimulus packages and the U.S. unemployment rate jumping to a five-year high of 6.1% in the eighth consecutive month of declining non-farm payrolls, 6.41% of all U.S. mortgages are now overdue on their payments, the worst reading on record.

If companies pull back on technology budgets and cash-strapped consumers forgo the latest round of gadgets in favor of saving their home, this may not be a good time to buy technology sector funds.

Once we get past the election in November and the capitulation of the National Bureau of Economic Research, admitting that we have been in a recession for several months, we can then start looking for buying opportunities near the bottom.

For an explanation of our ratings, click here.


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