'Fast Money' Recap: Lowly Lehman
Peter Garcia
08/25/08 - 07:16 PM EDT
On Monday night's "Fast Money" show on
CNBC, Melissa Lee started the program stating that the major indices closed in negative territory. She continued by saying that
American International Group (AIG Quote) and
Lehman Brothers (LEH Quote) were down alongside with most financials.
Pete Najarian said "nothing was helping this market today." He also said commodities from metals to crude oil "did not help." In addition, he said he felt that a "big part" of the downside in financials specifically had to do with Lehman Brothers.
Guy Adami said, "I see it trade single digits," making reference to Lehman Brothers currently trading at $13.45. He also mentioned that he does not see any reason for investors to own the stock, especially when he "does not see the company getting bought out."
Joe Terranova said that what the market lacked today was a catalyst. He then said he wondered what kind of catalyst will it take to move the markets.
Jon Najarian said he noticed that
ChevronTexaco (CVX Quote) has dropped considerably -- the stock is down 15% to $85.38 in the past three months.
Regarding Lehman Brothers, Adami said he foresees Ricahrd Fuld, chief executive officer of Lehman Brothers, "going out the door soon."
Pete Najarian questioned whether Lehman Brothers employees will stay working at Lehman Brothers. Answering his own question, Najarian said he believes more and more Lehman employees will leave for better opportunites, since they do not know what the future holds for Lehman.
Elsewhere in Financials
Chart of the Day was
Goldman Sachs (GS Quote).
Najarian reiterated what he always felt about Goldman Sachs, that it is the best of breed when it comes to investment banks. He went on to say, "if it breaks even lower, it could be considered a buy." While he does like Goldman, he currently owns
Morgan Stanley(MS Quote).
Najarian also mentioned how he "loves Goldman and Morgan," though he said he loves Morgan Stanley more right now.
Najraian discussed
SunTrust(STI Quote) and
Wells Fargo(WFC Quote), saying that options activity suggests investors feel there is some downside left.
Adami mentioned a financial of his own that he likes:
U.S. Bancorp (USB Quote). He said "U.S. Bancorp looks the most solid" and should be bought when the stock trades at $28-$29 price range.
Tech Talk
However, Adami does not like
Advance Micro Devices (AMD Quote) as a company, but he stated that "does not mean there is no upside for the stock." He feels with the stock being heavily shorted, there is some potential upside investors could benefit from.
Najarian said that even though
Rambus (RMBS Quote) rose about 3% to $16.22 today, there is more upside left for the stock.
Hardware and Elsewhere
Adami brought up that he feels
Home Depot (HD Quote) is trading at a reasonable price, saying that the "valuation is fair" and that "the balance sheet looks great." He stated that both Home Depot and Lowe's will be interesting until next year.
Najarian on the other hand said investors should wait six more months before considering whether it is right to buy either Home Depot or Lowe's.
Terranova said there was no volume today in oil, and he said he feels it is "stabilizing." He continued by saying, "I am out of the oil trade and suggest others do the same for the short-term."
P. Najarian noticed some strong call option activity with
Titanium Metals (TIE Quote), telling investors to "keep an eye on the stock."
Thomas Gallagher, a director of Credit Suisse, said he still sees AIG facing more rouch patches in the near term that may cause the firm to raise capital. He believes the company will have to do a potentially large capital raise as much as $7 billion in 3 months. Gallagher said he does not suggest investors should buy the stock now but said to wait for the stock to trade at lower levels in a few months when it raises capital.
Lee asked whether
Freddie Mac (FRE Quote) and
Fannie Mae (FNM Quote) will be nationalized.
Steve Liesman joined the program and stated that from the people he has been speaking to, he has not heard anyone say that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will not be nationalized, as Citigroup suggested this morning. He stated the Treasury has all options on the table regarding what to do with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Liesman ended by saying how Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae's preferred shares are great buys if people feel the common stock will not go to zero.
Mike Darda, chief economist of MKM Partners, joined the show to state how he felt about the economy. He said he feels housing prices will not recover until at least 2009. He suggests that investors be very cautious in this difficult environment.
Commodities Corner
Terranova feels there are three areas investors can profit handsomely until year-end: oil, coal, and copper. The stocks he feels will benefit are
National Oilwell Varco ( NOV Quote),
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX Quote) and the
Coal ETF (KOL Quote).
He said the three stocks he recommended will perform quite well for the rest of the year. He also said the dollar will not have a "substantial impact" on his trades, especially since he said he expects the dollar to "trade sideways from here on out."
Stocks you never heard of?
Najarian brought up a small-cap stock that looks promising:
Digi International (DGII Quote). He said "I like the company, it has a great balance sheet with zero debt" and that it has plenty of growth left. However, he does warn investors to be cautious, since the market has been "sketchy."
Final Trade
Najarian's pick was
United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG Quote).
Adami picked
XTO Energy (XTO Quote).
Terranova says for investors to stay on vacation.
Najarian said he likes Titanium Metals.